Voters of every demographic group nationally — across race, age, gender and education — swung back toward the Democratic Party, reversing a broad shift in support toward Republicans in 2024.

The reversal was most notable among young voters and voters of color, two groups whose change in support in the 2024 election were critical to President Donald Trump’s victory. White voters without a college degree — often seen as stalwarts of the Republican base — also made a sharp turn to the left.

This analysis is based on preliminary data on U.S. House vote shifts from Times Voter Trends, which estimates the results of the 2026 election by age, race, education and gender for every state.

Young Voters

Voters younger than 30 shifted to the left by more than 30 percentage points — the largest shift of any age group. Young men, in particular, shifted nearly 40 points toward Democrats after a 23-point shift toward Republicans in the 2024 election.

In 2020, Joe Biden won among young white voters, but they swung toward Republicans in 2024 and Trump won them by a narrow margin. This year, Democrats regained a sizable lead among this group — exceeding their 2020 levels of voter support for the party.

White Voters Without a College Degree

White voters without a college degree have been the backbone of Trump’s base since they swung toward Republicans in the 2016 election. Last night, white working-class voters without a college degree swung more to the left than white college-educated voters.

Across many of the states where Democrats won critical Senate seats, white voters without a degree make up a majority of voters in the state. In Kansas, white voters without a college degree shifted 12 points toward Democrats. In Ohio, the shift was 16 points.

Older Voters

Democratic Party gains were largest among younger voters, but they were not limited to them. The party made gains among all age groups nationwide, including voters older than 45, a group that Republicans won in 2020 and 2024.

Hispanic Voters

After helping fuel Trump’s return to the White House in 2024, Hispanic voters shifted left more than any other racial or ethnic group this year.

That shift was even more pronounced among young Hispanic men, who supported Republicans in 2024 but swung back almost 50 points toward Democrats this year. Hispanic voters without a college degree saw one of the largest swings, too, shifting in favor of Democrats by 33 points.

Hispanic voters in Texas, who make up almost a quarter of all registered voters, helped deliver once-unthinkable victories for Democrats. Gina Hinojosa defeated the three-term Republican governor, Greg Abbott, to become the state’s first Hispanic governor, and James Talarico defeated Ken Paxton to become the first Democratic senator from Texas in three decades.

In Florida, a 20-point swing toward Democrats among Hispanic voters made for unexpectedly tight races for Senate and governor but was not enough to propel Democrats to victory. Florida is home to many Cuban Americans, who have been a reliable voting bloc for the Republican Party.

Black Voters

While the shift among Black voters was smaller than with other groups, Democrats have less room to grow with this demographic: Kamala Harris won about 86% of Black voters in 2024.

Trump made inroads with Black voters in 2024, particularly among Black men, who shifted in his direction by 17 points in that election. The shifts in Democrats’ favor this year largely reverse Trump’s gains from two years ago, returning Black support for Democrats to levels last seen in the 2020 presidential election.

As was broadly the case with other groups, Democrats’ gains among Black voters were particularly strong among young men, who shifted to the left by around 25 points — nearly identical to the 26-point shift toward Trump from that group in 2024.

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This article originally appeared in The New York Times.

By Lily Boyce, Jon Huang, Ruth Igielnik, Allison McCann and Evan Reynolds/Nicole Craine
c. 2026 The New York Times Company