Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility
Newsom Recall: Could 1-and-Done Strategy Backfire?
gvw_calmatters
By CalMatters
Published 3 years ago on
August 23, 2021

Share

As we’ve been telling you for weeks, the California recall ballot has two questions. To paraphrase:

  1. Should voters fire Gov. Gavin Newsom two-thirds of the way through his first term?
  2. If Newsom is recalled, who should take his place?

Ben Christopher

CalMatters

But if you listen to the California Democratic Party and the governor himself, you might think only the first question matters — and that you should leave the second one blank.

California voters are understandably confused. Some recall opponents have even drawn the incorrect conclusion that voting for a replacement will invalidate their “no” vote. Ask the Newsom camp and you get this text message:

  • Newsom spokesperson Nathan Click: “Voting NO is the only way to ensure California doesn’t get a Trump-supporting and anti-vax enabling Governor like (Larry) Elder.”

Which isn’t much of an explanation.

To understand the strategy behind this message, remember the last and only time the California electorate gave its governor the premature boot.

Learning From Davis’ and Bustamante’s Mistake

When Democratic Gov. Gray Davis was facing a recall in 2003, Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante jumped into the race at the last minute to serve as a backup Democrat, without the support of either the party or Davis. Still, the presence of a viable-seeming left-of-center alternative convinced many Democratic-leaning voters that they could vote to ditch Davis without ending up with a Republican governor.

That’s the lesson many Democratic political consultants took after Davis got the axe, Bustamante lost and the GOP’s Arnold Schwarzenegger won.

But not everyone thinks it’s the right lesson.

Democrats on the replacement ballot agree. YouTube real estate investment guru Kevin Paffrath, who backs the recall, has called the strategy “selfish.” Weed business consultant Jacqueline McGowan, who opposes it, says the party needs “an insurance policy” — namely, her.

The Democratic strategy is risky. If enough Newsom supporters listen to him, recall supporters will make up the majority of replacement votes, all but guaranteeing a conservative winner if the recall succeeds.

As for Bustamante? He said this time he left the second option blank.

About the Author

Ben Christopher covers California politics and elections for CalMatters, a public interest journalism venture committed to explaining how California’s state Capitol works and why it matters.

[activecampaign form=27]

RELATED TOPICS:

DON'T MISS

Man Sets Himself on Fire Outside Trump Hush Money Trial Court

DON'T MISS

McDonald’s Ice Cream Machines Are So Unreliable They’re a Meme. They Might Also Be a Climate Solution.

DON'T MISS

Real Estate Experts Talk Fresno’s Economic Future. Are Tough Times Ahead?

DON'T MISS

Unlocking the Secrets to Fresno State’s Superb Baseball Season

DON'T MISS

‘This Is How to Improve Reading Proficiency. We Just Have Execute It’: FUSD Board President

DON'T MISS

Does Dyer Support (or Endorse) Bredefeld for Supervisor?

DON'T MISS

Get a 3D First Look at Merced’s High-Speed Rail Station Design

DON'T MISS

California Court to Decide on Transgender Ballot Measure Wording

DON'T MISS

Rare House Vote Sees Ukraine, Israel Aid Advance as Democrats Join Republicans

DON'T MISS

Full Jury and 6 Alternates Seated in Trump’s Hush Money Trial

UP NEXT

Rare House Vote Sees Ukraine, Israel Aid Advance as Democrats Join Republicans

UP NEXT

Full Jury and 6 Alternates Seated in Trump’s Hush Money Trial

UP NEXT

How 4/20 Grew From Humble Roots to Marijuana’s High Holiday

UP NEXT

Jury Selection Could Be Nearing a Close in Donald Trump’s Hush Money Trial in New York

UP NEXT

Finding an Apartment May Be Easier for California Pet Owners Under New Legislation

UP NEXT

Who Owns Businesses in California? A Lawmaker Wants the Public to Know

UP NEXT

California Sets Long-Awaited Drinking Water Limit for ‘Erin Brockovich’ Contaminant

UP NEXT

Biden is Off on Details of His Uncle’s WWII Death as He Calls Trump Unfit to Lead the Military

UP NEXT

See the Fully Equipped House Homeless People Built on LA Freeway Strip

UP NEXT

Biden Backs House’s Aid Package for Ukraine, Israel While Speaker Johnson Battles to Retain Position

Unlocking the Secrets to Fresno State’s Superb Baseball Season

3 hours ago

‘This Is How to Improve Reading Proficiency. We Just Have Execute It’: FUSD Board President

4 hours ago

Does Dyer Support (or Endorse) Bredefeld for Supervisor?

4 hours ago

Get a 3D First Look at Merced’s High-Speed Rail Station Design

5 hours ago

California Court to Decide on Transgender Ballot Measure Wording

5 hours ago

Rare House Vote Sees Ukraine, Israel Aid Advance as Democrats Join Republicans

7 hours ago

Full Jury and 6 Alternates Seated in Trump’s Hush Money Trial

7 hours ago

Wired Wednesday: How High Will the Price of Gold & Silver Go?

Video /

8 hours ago

How 4/20 Grew From Humble Roots to Marijuana’s High Holiday

9 hours ago

Taylor Swift Drops 15 New Songs on Double Album, ‘The Tortured Poets Department: The Anthology’

9 hours ago

Man Sets Himself on Fire Outside Trump Hush Money Trial Court

NEW YORK — Police officials said they were reviewing whether to restrict access to a public park outside the courthouse where former Preside...

1 hour ago

1 hour ago

Man Sets Himself on Fire Outside Trump Hush Money Trial Court

2 hours ago

McDonald’s Ice Cream Machines Are So Unreliable They’re a Meme. They Might Also Be a Climate Solution.

2 hours ago

Real Estate Experts Talk Fresno’s Economic Future. Are Tough Times Ahead?

3 hours ago

Unlocking the Secrets to Fresno State’s Superb Baseball Season

4 hours ago

‘This Is How to Improve Reading Proficiency. We Just Have Execute It’: FUSD Board President

4 hours ago

Does Dyer Support (or Endorse) Bredefeld for Supervisor?

5 hours ago

Get a 3D First Look at Merced’s High-Speed Rail Station Design

5 hours ago

California Court to Decide on Transgender Ballot Measure Wording

MENU

CONNECT WITH US

Search

Send this to a friend