FiveThirtyEight: Biden Has a 71 Percent Chance of Winning the White House

A new election model released by FiveThirtyEight gives presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden a 71 percent chance of winning the White House, compared to 29 percent for President Trump.

The analysis gives Trump a greater chance at reelection than other current models.

For example, The Economist’s forecast gives Trump only a 10 percent chance of victory at this time.

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