Morgan Stanley Archives - GV Wire

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Is a Recession Coming? One Key Indicator Shouts Yes.

By gvwireIn Analysis, Economy, News, U.S.Posted May 29, 2019

Composite photo of a worried investor starting at market returns

What happens when the interest rate for a 3-month Treasury bill is higher than the interest rate for a 10-year note? Many investors and economists sound the alarm about a coming recession. That's what happened Tuesday as the 3-month bill yield rose to 2.36% while the 10-year note yield dropped to...