Wall Street faces a challenging week as mixed economic data and looming job reports keep investors on edge. (AP File)
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- S&P 500 on track for worst week since April amid economic concerns and anticipation of Friday's job report.
- Bond market dynamics show 10-year Treasury yield nearing end of two-year inversion, sparking recession discussions.
- Airlines see gains, with JetBlue up 8.1% after raising summer revenue forecast and benefiting from rivals' outages.
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NEW YORK — U.S. stocks are slipping on Thursday following mixed data on the economy, keeping them on track for their worst week since April.
The S&P 500 was 0.5% lower in midday trading following two straight drops. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 339 points, or 0.8%, as of 11:40 a.m. Eastern time, and the Nasdaq composite was edging down by less than 0.1%.
Treasury yields were holding relatively steady in the bond market following the mixed reports on the U.S. economy. One suggested U.S. companies slowed their hiring last month, falling well short of economists’ forecasts for an acceleration. Another report, though, said fewer U.S. workers filed for unemployment benefits last week than expected. That’s an indication layoffs remain low.
A report released later in the morning offered more optimism, saying growth for businesses in the mining, finance, health care and other services industries was stronger last month than economists expected.
“Generally, business is good,” one respondent said in the survey compiled by the Institute for Supply Management. “However, there are concerns of slowing foot traffic at restaurants and other venues where our products are sold.”
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Stocks Struggle Amid Economic Concerns
Stocks have largely struggled this week after another dud of a report on U.S. manufacturing reignited worries about the slowing U.S. economy and how much it could hurt corporate profits. That has raised the stakes for a highly anticipated report scheduled for Friday.
That’s when the U.S. government will say how many jobs U.S. employers added last month, and economists are expecting an acceleration of hiring. The job market’s performance could dictate how big of a cut to interest rates the Federal Reserve will deliver at its next meeting later this month.
After keeping its main interest rate at a two-decade high to stifle high inflation, the Federal Reserve has hinted it’s set to begin cutting interest rates in order to protect the job market and keep the overall economy from sliding into a recession. The question on Wall Street is if it ends up being too little, too late.
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Bond Market Dynamics and Yield Curve Inversion
In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury eased to 3.74% from 3.76% late Wednesday. It’s down from 4.70% in April, which is a significant move for the bond market.
Perhaps more importantly for investors, the 10-year yield is flirting with the end of a more than two-year stretch where it was lower than the two-year Treasury yield. That’s an unusual occurrence called an “inverted yield curve.” Usually, the opposite is the case, where longer-term yields tend to be higher than shorter-term yields.
Many investors see an inverted yield curve as a warning of a coming recession, and the inversion since the summer of 2022 has been a key talking point for market pessimists. Often, an inverted yield curve flips back to normal ahead of a recession as traders cement their expectations for coming cuts to interest rates by the Fed. But the 2020 pandemic created a recession and resulting recovery that have continued to defy predictions and conventional wisdoms.
The two-year Treasury yield was sitting at 3.75%, just above the 10-year yield.
Notable Stock Movements and Market Trends
On Wall Street, Old Dominion Freight Line fell to one of the sharpest losses in the S&P 500 after reporting discouraging revenue trends for August. It cited “softness in the domestic economy,” along with lower fuel surcharge revenue for the weakness. The freight company’s stock fell 7.9%.
Verizon’s stock slipped 0.5% after it announced it’s buying Frontier Communications in a $20 billion deal to strengthen its fiber network. Frontier Communications, which soared nearly 38% the day before, gave back 9.5%.
On the winning end of Wall Street was Tesla. It rose 3.8% after its AI division laid out a roadmap for upcoming developments, including the possibility of full self-driving in Europe and China.
JetBlue Airways flew 8.1% higher after raising its forecast for revenue in the summer. It said it’s seeing better performance in the Latin America region particularly and that it picked up business when technology outages in July forced rivals to cancel flights.
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Other airlines were also at the front of the S&P 500, including gains of 3.7% for United Airlines and 2.9% for American Airlines.
In stock markets abroad, indexes were mixed across Asia and Europe.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 1.1% after strong data on growth in wages there raised expectations for another hike to interest rates.
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