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California Projected to Lose Four Congressional Seats After 2030 Census
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Published 1 year ago on
December 20, 2023

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After the 2020 Census came a first: California lost one of its 53 congressional seats because its population growth slowed so much in the prior decade compared to other states.

A projection out Tuesday says that California could lose even more political punch after the 2030 Census — four more seats, cutting the state’s U.S. House delegation to 49.

The prediction, based on new Census population estimates, says that another Democratic state — New York — would lose three seats.

Meanwhile, the Republican strongholds of Texas and Florida would gain four seats and three, respectively. And that could shift the Electoral College math for president the GOP’s way.

Back in California, a shrinking delegation could also create a chaotic game of political musical chairs,  with as many as 52 members trying to squeeze into 49 seats.

2030 Apportionment Forecast

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