Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility
Predicting the End of the War in Ukraine: Expert Insights
News
By News
Published 2 years ago on
March 6, 2023

Share

Getting your Trinity Audio player ready...

Historian Stephen Kotkin recently discussed the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and Russian President Vladimir Putin’s strategic decisions. Putin’s focus appears to be on destroying rather than conquering, with no real long-term benefit for Russia, Kotkin says. Despite being hailed as a tactical genius, Kotkin argues that Putin’s actions have not contributed positively to Russia’s power or prosperity.

Europe has successfully decreased its dependence on Russian energy and rallied in support of Ukraine, but Western sanctions on Russia’s economy have not had as significant an impact as expected. While the idea of building a “golden bridge” for Russia to retreat from the conflict in Ukraine would be ideal, there is currently no clear path to achieving it, says Kotkin.

The question of victory in Ukraine is complex, with different definitions from President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, the Biden administration, and numerous analysts. However, some believe that E.U. accession for Ukraine would be a better definition of victory than regaining all of its territory.

Ukraine needs to ramp up its industrial production to fight a war of attrition, firing about 90,000 artillery shells a month, while the US and allies can only produce up to 30,000. The key is to bomb the other side’s production facilities and deny them the ability to resupply on the battlefield, according to Kotkin.

Victory for Ukraine should be defined as gaining European Union accession and some form of security guarantee, rather than regaining every inch of territory, reparations, and war-crimes tribunals, he says.

The ongoing conflict in Ukraine could impact Russia’s power and status as an energy superpower, Kotkin surmises, leading to domestic turbulence and a loss of human capital.

Read more on The New Yorker

 

 

 

RELATED TOPICS:

DON'T MISS

What Are Fresno Real Estate Experts Predicting for 2025 and Beyond?

DON'T MISS

First California EV Mandates Hit Automakers This Year. Most Are Not Even Close

DON'T MISS

FDA Approves Moderna’s New Lower-Dose COVID-19 Vaccine

DON'T MISS

Cabrera, Three Relievers Combine to Lead Marlins to Win Over Giants

DON'T MISS

Spike in Steel Tariffs Could Imperil Trump Promise of Lower Grocery Prices

DON'T MISS

Dodgers’ Mookie Betts Out With Broken Toe After Late-Night Bedroom Mishap

DON'T MISS

California Gubernatorial Candidate Steve Hilton Vows to Repeal Transgender Athlete Law

DON'T MISS

Trans Athlete Competes in California Championships in Clovis Despite National Controversy

DON'T MISS

Tim Walz Urges Democrats to Fight Back Harder Against ‘Bully’ Trump

DON'T MISS

US Defense Secretary Warns Indo-Pacific Allies of ‘Imminent’ Threat From China

DON'T MISS

Hamas Responds to the US Ceasefire Proposal for Gaza While Seeking Amendments

DON'T MISS

No. 15 Overall Seed UCLA Eases Past Fresno State Behind a Season-High 22 Hits

UP NEXT

UN May Cut Staff by 20%, Internal Memo Says

UP NEXT

Netanyahu Says Israel Accepts Witkoff’s New Gaza Truce Proposal, Media Report

UP NEXT

Food Trucks in Gaza Raided, Underscoring Aid Distribution Problems

UP NEXT

US and Russia Clash in Public as the Ukraine War Heats Up

UP NEXT

Ireland to Press Ahead With Trade Ban on Israeli-Occupied Areas

UP NEXT

Palestinians Flock to US-Backed Aid Centers Despite Concern Over Checks

UP NEXT

Germany Threatens Steps Against Israel as Tone Shifts Over Gaza

UP NEXT

Far-Right Israelis Confront Palestinians, Other Israelis in Chaotic Jerusalem March

UP NEXT

Palestinians to Raise Flag at WHO for the First Time After Vote

UP NEXT

Hamas Agrees to US Proposal on Gaza Ceasefire, Palestinian Official Says

Dodgers’ Mookie Betts Out With Broken Toe After Late-Night Bedroom Mishap

13 hours ago

California Gubernatorial Candidate Steve Hilton Vows to Repeal Transgender Athlete Law

17 hours ago

Trans Athlete Competes in California Championships in Clovis Despite National Controversy

20 hours ago

Tim Walz Urges Democrats to Fight Back Harder Against ‘Bully’ Trump

21 hours ago

US Defense Secretary Warns Indo-Pacific Allies of ‘Imminent’ Threat From China

21 hours ago

Hamas Responds to the US Ceasefire Proposal for Gaza While Seeking Amendments

21 hours ago

No. 15 Overall Seed UCLA Eases Past Fresno State Behind a Season-High 22 Hits

21 hours ago

Judge and Ohtani Light Up the First Inning With Historic Homers in Yankees-Dodgers Rematch

22 hours ago

Chapman Homers, Harrison Pitches Five Scoreless Innings as Giants Beat Marlins

22 hours ago

General Is a Good Boy — in English and Spanish

23 hours ago

FDA Approves Moderna’s New Lower-Dose COVID-19 Vaccine

The U.S. approved a new COVID-19 vaccine made by Moderna late Friday but with limits on who can use it — not a replacement for the company&#...

13 hours ago

13 hours ago

FDA Approves Moderna’s New Lower-Dose COVID-19 Vaccine

13 hours ago

Cabrera, Three Relievers Combine to Lead Marlins to Win Over Giants

13 hours ago

Spike in Steel Tariffs Could Imperil Trump Promise of Lower Grocery Prices

13 hours ago

Dodgers’ Mookie Betts Out With Broken Toe After Late-Night Bedroom Mishap

Steve Hilton, a 2026 candidate for governor, speaks at a news conference on May 31, 2025, outside Veterans Memorial Stadium in Clovis. (GV Wire/David Taub)
17 hours ago

California Gubernatorial Candidate Steve Hilton Vows to Repeal Transgender Athlete Law

20 hours ago

Trans Athlete Competes in California Championships in Clovis Despite National Controversy

21 hours ago

Tim Walz Urges Democrats to Fight Back Harder Against ‘Bully’ Trump

21 hours ago

US Defense Secretary Warns Indo-Pacific Allies of ‘Imminent’ Threat From China

Help continue the work that gets you the news that matters most.

Search

Send this to a friend