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California Will See Peak of COVID-19 Hospitalizations and Deaths in Less Than 4 Weeks, Forecast Finds



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The coronavirus crisis will create peak demand on California’s health care resources on April 26, but the state will be likely able to meet the need for hospital beds, according to a state-by-state forecast from researchers at the University of Washington’s medical school.
The Golden State will see more than 4,300 deaths due to coronavirus, with fatalities continuing into August, the forecast found as of Monday. The numbers are expected to peak with about 100 deaths per day in late April.
The state-by-state projections were published last week by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the university in Seattle. The modeling is being updated daily, and the figures available for California on Monday show improvement since the forecast’s March 26 release.
The state has been preparing for a surge that will require two-thirds increase in hospital system capacity, Gov. Gavin Newsom said Monday, when a top state health official indicated the state’s own “very dynamic” modeling indicated a peak in the second half of May.
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