Industry experts warned that such an assessment was premature; but oil prices stabilized and the sound of war drums faded. We are witnessing the beginning of a new geopolitics in the Middle East.
Trump has embraced his America First instincts, and it’s not difficult to see why. He would have nothing to gain — and everything to lose — by jumping into another Gulf quagmire, not least when it comes to his chances of re-election. He is in tune with the overwhelming majority of Americans horrified at the prospect of war with Iran in defense of the House of Saud. Opinion polls show huge majorities — among both Democrat and Republican voters — opposed to any such action. Evangelical Christians support war, because they believe it would make Israel safer. But they would vote for Trump come what may.