Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility
11 Important Things to Know About Janz vs. Brand
Bill McEwen updated website photo 2024
By Bill McEwen, News Director
Published 5 years ago on
May 9, 2019

Share

The Fresno mayoral election is starting out hot and before the March primary will make all those before it seem like dinner debates in an arctic basement.

Portrait of GV Wire News Director/Columnist Bill McEwen

Opinion

Bill McEwen

The entry of Andrew Janz has injected sizzle into the election and stoked a fire in the belly of incumbent Lee Brand.

Here are 11 things to look for:

1. What Janz Must Do to Win

No challenger has beaten the incumbent in Fresno’s strong-mayor era, which began with Jim Patterson’s defeat of Michael Erin Woody (and his Hollywood good looks) in 1996. Moreover, Fresno hasn’t elected a Democratic mayor of any kind since Karen Humphrey in 1989.

To become the first winning challenger (and a Democrat at that), Janz must successfully make the case that change is needed and he’s a worthy replacement. He also has to articulate how his plans will benefit a majority of voters.

And one more thing: He’ll have to convince undecided voters that his running for mayor isn’t a consolation prize for giving Rep. Devin Nunes — Public Enemy No. 2 for Democrats nationwide behind you know who— the political fight of his life.

Sounds easy, but it isn’t.

2. What Brand Must Do to Win

Brand has to convince voters they are better off today than they were four years ago — and that they’ll prosper even more by keeping him at the helm.

In addition, he must hammer home that entrusting the mayor’s job to someone who has never held elected office isn’t worth the risk.

History will note that in 2000, voters put their trust in an actor with no previous political experience (Alan Autry) rather than go with a popular former mayor (Dan Whitehurst).

History will note that in 2000, voters put their trust in an actor with no previous political experience (Alan Autry) rather than go with a popular former mayor (Dan Whitehurst).

3. Janz Will Try to Tie Brand to Nunes, Trump

The mayor’s position is officially nonpartisan but many people vote along party lines. Though Brand is what might be called a “compassionate Republican,” Janz will portray him as being closely aligned with  Nunes and President Donald Trump. His campaign already has a fundraising pitch that calls Brand “a Nunes lackey.”

Local voters know Brand isn’t a Nunes lackey. In fact, the mayor is criticized by some Fresno Republicans for straying from his conservative roots.

But for Janz, this is about attracting donors from outside of the city. They loved the way he took on Nunes last year, and Janz wants them to donate to this political quest, too.

4. Brand Will Hold a Big Fundraising Edge, Just as He Did in 2016

You can argue that Brand’s huge fundraising edge over Henry R. Perea powered his narrow comeback victory three years ago. In the campaign’s homestretch, Brand was all over the airwaves while Perea had flat run out of money.

Brand already has about $500,000 for the campaign and will raise another $500,000 — or more — the rest of the way.

Political insiders predict Janz will raise in the vicinity of $250,000. He told The Fresno Bee he won’t accept campaign donations from developers or corporations. Thus he’ll have to leverage social media and strong door-to-door canvassing to counter Brand’s fund-raising clout.

It’s easy to envision Janz telling a crowd, “I’m Andrew Janz, and I want to be your mayor. I’m definitely not Lee Brand. Fresno deserves better.”

5. Janz Will Use Brand’s Punch Line Against Him

Brand issued a statement after Janz filed to run that included a memorable line: He has “a track record that consists of saying, ‘I’m not Devin Nunes.’ Will his new campaign be ‘I’m not Lee Brand?’ To which I reply, ‘Yes, young man, you’re right. You’re not Lee Brand. You aren’t even close.’”

It’s easy to envision Janz telling a crowd, “I’m Andrew Janz, and I want to be your mayor. I’m definitely not Lee Brand. Fresno deserves better.”

6. Janz Will Borrow from the Nunes Playbook

The Nunes camp alleged that Janz, a Fresno County prosecutor, campaigned for Congress on the taxpayers’ dime. Although Fresno County District Attorney Lisa Smittcamp refuted the claim, the controversy generated headlines. And Janz had to expend time and energy addressing the charge.

The mayor’s spokesman, Mark Standriff, and the mayor’s chief of staff, Tim Orman, a former political consultant, work closely with Brand. So, someone from the Janz camp surely will file Public Record Act requests seeking to find out if one or both of them has done campaign work during city working hours.

7.  Though Brand is a Republican, He Has Union Support

In 2016, the Fresno Police Officers Association and Fresno Firefighters Local 753 threw their weight behind Perea. This time, they’ve already endorsed Brand.

What’s different now? Perea had longtime relationships with both of the city’s public-safety unions, so they went with him.

In addition, Brand is no stranger to labor, whether it’s attending their public events or reaching out to explain why he made certain decisions. Brand also has received campaign donations from the Fresno bus drivers union and its statewide parent.

The police and fire unions endorsement are highly sought after by political candidates, but as we saw in 2016 they failed to carry Perea over the finish line.

8. Both Are Confident They’ll Win High-Profile Public Debates

The Brand campaign relishes the opportunity for the mayor to remind the public of his accomplishments, especially his securing of millions in state funds to reduce homelessness — an issue Janz has identified as one of his campaign themes.

You can bet, too, that the mayor will remind voters of City Hall’s perilous financial past and warn against electing a new mayor forced to spend big to fulfill campaign promises and satisfy a left-leaning city council.

Janz never got to debate Nunes, so he’s itching for a chance to rattle and fence in an opponent. In addition, he’s a prosecutor accustomed to performing under court-room pressure.

Before their first public debate, both men will walk to the stage confident of victory and potentially landing a knockout punch.

9. Fresno’s Low Unemployment Rate vs. Corporate Giveaways

One of Brand’s messages will be some variant of “promises made, promises kept.” He will continue to point to Fresno’s historic low unemployment rate and the 5,000 jobs added since he took office.

Last week, Janz rolled out his counter-attack: The mayor has added thousands of low-paying jobs by surrendering tax dollars to corporations such as Amazon and Ulta that should pay for parks and police.

It’s largely a philosophical debate — one that’s unlikely to move voters off beliefs now held.

10. Odds of Jerry Dyer Running: 1%

The conventional political thinking is that Janz, with his high name recognition and a core of fervent supporters, has cleared the field of other major challengers.

Certainly, that goal had to influence Janz’s decision to declare his candidacy early.

Fresno Police Chief Jerry Dyer is popular and led a hypothetical matchup against Janz and Brand in a poll commissioned by GV Wire. But the only way Dyer runs for mayor is if the unthinkable happens and Brand exits the race.

Photo of Fresno Police Chief Jerry Dyer
The only way Chief Jerry Dyer enters the mayoral race is if Lee Brand withdraws from it. (Fresno PD/Instagram)

11. Brand’s Goal Is to Win Outright in March

The mayor’s re-election strategy is to focus campaign resources on securing the 50%-plus-one vote margin required to avoid a November run-off.

The longer Janz hangs around, the more formidable he becomes.

And memories of the Democrats’ resounding Blue Wave in California, as well as nationally in the House elections, are fresh in the minds of Brand’s supporters.

DON'T MISS

CHP Car Struck by Drunk Driver While Investigating Another Crash

DON'T MISS

Fresno Man Ejected From Car Dies Off McKinley Avenue

DON'T MISS

‘Leave It the Way It Is’: Off-Roaders, Hikers React to Proposal to Change 1.4M Acres of Sierra Forest

DON'T MISS

Yankees Retain Cole, Add $36 Million Extension to Keep Ace

DON'T MISS

5 Reasons Early Voting Is Overwhelmed With Falsehoods

DON'T MISS

Christian McCaffrey Returns to Practice for the 49ers From Achilles Tendon Injury

DON'T MISS

California Sues LA Suburb for Temporary Ban of Homeless Shelters

DON'T MISS

You May Have Blocked Someone on X but Now They Can See Your Public Posts Anyway

DON'T MISS

Some Republican-Led States Refuse to Let Justice Department Monitors Into Polling Places

DON'T MISS

Fresno Police Arrest Suspect in Fatal NW Apartment Shooting

UP NEXT

Let’s Keep Innovative Partnerships Crucial to Combating Climate Change: Fresno Dairy Manager

UP NEXT

No Matter the Outcome, We Are the True Losers of This Election

UP NEXT

California’s Transition Off Carbon Fuels Could Be a Monumental Disaster

UP NEXT

Don’t Let Liberal Purity Elect Trump

UP NEXT

Newsom Provides Welfare to the Wealthy, Skimps on Anti-Homelessness Programs

UP NEXT

Independent Gen Zers Will Decide Elections From Now On

UP NEXT

America’s Political Divide Shifts from Economics to Education: Fareed Zakaria

UP NEXT

Fresno Unified Reform Is a Must. Force It With a ‘No’ on Measure H.

UP NEXT

Trump’s Biggest Con: Pretending to Support American Workers

UP NEXT

Why Newsom Wants Taxpayers to Waste Millions on Big Hollywood Subsidies

Bill McEwen,
News Director
Bill McEwen is news director and columnist for GV Wire. He joined GV Wire in August 2017 after 37 years at The Fresno Bee. With The Bee, he served as Opinion Editor, City Hall reporter, Metro columnist, sports columnist and sports editor through the years. His work has been frequently honored by the California Newspapers Publishers Association, including authoring first-place editorials in 2015 and 2016. Bill and his wife, Karen, are proud parents of two adult sons, and they have two grandsons. You can contact Bill at 559-492-4031 or at Send an Email

Yankees Retain Cole, Add $36 Million Extension to Keep Ace

12 hours ago

5 Reasons Early Voting Is Overwhelmed With Falsehoods

12 hours ago

Christian McCaffrey Returns to Practice for the 49ers From Achilles Tendon Injury

12 hours ago

California Sues LA Suburb for Temporary Ban of Homeless Shelters

12 hours ago

You May Have Blocked Someone on X but Now They Can See Your Public Posts Anyway

13 hours ago

Some Republican-Led States Refuse to Let Justice Department Monitors Into Polling Places

13 hours ago

Fresno Police Arrest Suspect in Fatal NW Apartment Shooting

13 hours ago

Fresno Murder Suspect Stopped in Las Vegas, Others Wanted

13 hours ago

Trump’s Crowds Are Dwindling as His Campaign Winds Down

14 hours ago

Trump Threatens 25% Tariff on Mexico to Curb Immigration

14 hours ago

CHP Car Struck by Drunk Driver While Investigating Another Crash

A driver suspected of being under the influence crashed into a California Highway Patrol car early Sunday, officials said. Officers were inv...

9 hours ago

A driver suspected of DUI crashed into a parked California Highway Patrol car at a fatal crash scene in Fresno County, sustaining minor injuries and later being cited. (Fresno County SO)
9 hours ago

CHP Car Struck by Drunk Driver While Investigating Another Crash

fresno
9 hours ago

Fresno Man Ejected From Car Dies Off McKinley Avenue

10 hours ago

‘Leave It the Way It Is’: Off-Roaders, Hikers React to Proposal to Change 1.4M Acres of Sierra Forest

New York Yankees pitcher Gerrit Cole throws against the Los Angeles Dodgers during the first inning in Game 5 of the baseball World Series, Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2024, in New York. (AP/Ashley Landis)
12 hours ago

Yankees Retain Cole, Add $36 Million Extension to Keep Ace

Voters cast their ballots at Desert Breeze Community Center in Las Vegas during the last day of in-person early voting in Nevada on Friday, Nov. 1, 2024. Nearly 75 million people have cast early ballots, making their voices heard amid worry about the process, the outcome and democracy itself. (Bridget Bennett/The New York Times)
12 hours ago

5 Reasons Early Voting Is Overwhelmed With Falsehoods

12 hours ago

Christian McCaffrey Returns to Practice for the 49ers From Achilles Tendon Injury

12 hours ago

California Sues LA Suburb for Temporary Ban of Homeless Shelters

13 hours ago

You May Have Blocked Someone on X but Now They Can See Your Public Posts Anyway

Search

Send this to a friend