Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility
If GOP Holds House, Valley Could Be National Power Center
Bill McEwen updated website photo 2024
By Bill McEwen, News Director
Published 6 years ago on
November 4, 2018

Share

The odds are long, likely approaching those of winning the Mega Millions lottery.

But heading into Tuesday’s election, here’s something for San Joaquin Valley voters to contemplate.

Portrait of GV Wire News Director/Columnist Bill McEwen

Opinion

Bill McEwen

If the Republicans retain control of the House of Representatives, the Valley could receive billions of dollars in funding for water and transportation projects.

As the Republicans now run the House, you might ask, what’s different with another GOP victory?

Bear with me, it’s long, winding road. It starts with Republicans keeping the House despite having, according to FiveThirtyEight.com as of Nov. 2, only a 15.3% chance of doing so.

First Up: Nunes vs. Janz

Let’s say that happens, and Rep. Devin Nunes of Tulare fends off Democratic challenger Andrew Janz in CA-21.

Nunes then surely retains his chairmanship of the House Intelligence Committee, one of the most powerful positions in Congress.

Factor in that Nunes has the ear and the admiration of President Donald Trump.

A Likely Cliffhanger: Denham vs. Harder

Now we turn to CA-10, where Democratic challenger Josh Harder and Rep. Jeff Denham are in a race that could go either way.

FiveThirtyEight sees the contest “likely” going Harder’s way while The Cook Political Report rates it a toss-up.

For Denham, keeping the seat would enable him to begin the battle for realizing his political dream job: House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee chairman.

Landing that plum is contingent on Denham outmaneuvering Missouri Rep. Sam Graves, who also wants the gavel left behind by retiring Pennsylvania Rep. Bill Shuster.

“When I’m re-elected, I will be chair of the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee,” Denham predicted this summer at the Modesto Republican Women Federated’s annual Ronald Reagan dinner, according to Roll Call.

Can McCarthy Ascend to Speaker?

That brings us to House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy of Bakersfield, who is shoo-in for re-election and was endorsed by retiring House Speaker Paul Ryan to succeed him.

Again, the Democrats appear poised to take back the House. And, if they do, it’s virtually certain that Nancy Pelosi triumphantly returns as speaker.

However, if the Republicans stay in power, McCarthy is in the strongest position to run the House — although he might have to fight Rep. Steve Scalise of Louisiana and the conservative House Freedom Caucus for the job.

Potential for Unprecedented Valley Power

Wow, that’s a lot of ifs.

It’s also a tremendous concentration of political power spanning the 188 miles between McCarthy’s home base in Bakersfield and Denham’s in Turlock.

Valley lawmakers, says Fresno State political science professor Thomas Holyoke, “certainly would be in a much stronger position to move legislation on water and transportation infrastructure. With Valley representatives in charge, it essentially assures that it happens.”

Holyoke points to funding for Temperance Flat reservoir and improvements to Highway 99 and other Valley roads as the likely result should McCarthy, Nunes, and Denham form a Valley troika at the top of a GOP-controlled House.

Immigration Reform DOA Under McCarthy

One big-ticket item neither the Valley nor the rest of the nation is likely to get with McCarthy as speaker is immigration reform.

“For McCarthy to assemble the votes to become speaker, he might have to make some serious compromises,” Holyoke says. “He might have to basically promise no immigration reform, just build that (border wall with Mexico).”

Holyoke continues: “Trump needs a wall for the 2020 election. There will be tremendous pressure on the speaker.”

Gridlock Likely With Pelosi Running the House

If the Democrats win the House, Holyoke offers an intriguing scenario involving Pelosi — the powerful Democrat that Republicans love to hate.

“There will be serious gridlock. I don’t think Trump’s in any position to deal with Pelosi,” he says. “The House will go into investigatory mode, what the House Republicans were doing with (President) Obama and Hillary Clinton. The difference is that the Democrats will be wielding the gavel.”

Holyoke adds that there might be an early exit by Pelosi from the speakership, however, to prevent Trump from using her presence atop the House to energize Republican and independent voters.

High-Speed Rail Back on Track

Finally, California’s high-speed rail project could get a boost with Democrats in charge.

“That would be interesting, Valley-wise,” Holyoke says, “because Trump loves to build things, House Democrats would be in position to fund it and Senate Republicans really have no reason to oppose it.”

We’ll find out soon if the anticipated Blue Wave washes across America, the Valley strikes gold with unexpected GOP victories or something in-between.

DON'T MISS

‘It’s Living Hell’: Nurses Say CA Addiction Recovery Program Ended Their Careers

DON'T MISS

Santa Who? Bizarre Christmas Traditions Stealing the Holiday Spotlight

DON'T MISS

New Decisions Boost California’s Zero-Emission Vehicle Mandate, but Major Hurdles Remain

DON'T MISS

Only $20K More to Bring Dolly Parton’s Imagination Library to Fresno

DON'T MISS

Jeffrey Sachs Warns of Looming US War With Iran

DON'T MISS

Cat House on the Kings Urgently Needs You to Donate Dollars and Adopt Your New Best Friend

DON'T MISS

The Surprising Sexual Politics of Nicole Kidman’s Kinky ‘Babygirl’

DON'T MISS

Why It’s Hard to Control What Gets Taught in Public Schools

DON'T MISS

FDA Approves Weight-Loss Drug to Treat Obstructive Sleep Apnea

DON'T MISS

In a Calendar Rarity, Hanukkah Starts This Year on Christmas Day

UP NEXT

New Decisions Boost California’s Zero-Emission Vehicle Mandate, but Major Hurdles Remain

UP NEXT

Only $20K More to Bring Dolly Parton’s Imagination Library to Fresno

UP NEXT

Jeffrey Sachs Warns of Looming US War With Iran

UP NEXT

Cat House on the Kings Urgently Needs You to Donate Dollars and Adopt Your New Best Friend

UP NEXT

The Surprising Sexual Politics of Nicole Kidman’s Kinky ‘Babygirl’

UP NEXT

A Look at the $100 Billion in Disaster Relief in the Government Spending Bill

UP NEXT

This French Bulldog Is So Fetch: Meet Toaster Strudel

UP NEXT

New California Voter ID Ban Puts Conservative Cities at Odds With State

UP NEXT

University of California Campuses Resolve Discrimination Complaints Stemming From Gaza Protests

UP NEXT

Clovis Residents Can Draw the City’s Next Election Map

Bill McEwen,
News Director
Bill McEwen is news director and columnist for GV Wire. He joined GV Wire in August 2017 after 37 years at The Fresno Bee. With The Bee, he served as Opinion Editor, City Hall reporter, Metro columnist, sports columnist and sports editor through the years. His work has been frequently honored by the California Newspapers Publishers Association, including authoring first-place editorials in 2015 and 2016. Bill and his wife, Karen, are proud parents of two adult sons, and they have two grandsons. You can contact Bill at 559-492-4031 or at Send an Email

Only $20K More to Bring Dolly Parton’s Imagination Library to Fresno

3 hours ago

Jeffrey Sachs Warns of Looming US War With Iran

19 hours ago

Cat House on the Kings Urgently Needs You to Donate Dollars and Adopt Your New Best Friend

19 hours ago

The Surprising Sexual Politics of Nicole Kidman’s Kinky ‘Babygirl’

20 hours ago

Why It’s Hard to Control What Gets Taught in Public Schools

20 hours ago

FDA Approves Weight-Loss Drug to Treat Obstructive Sleep Apnea

21 hours ago

In a Calendar Rarity, Hanukkah Starts This Year on Christmas Day

21 hours ago

A Look at the $100 Billion in Disaster Relief in the Government Spending Bill

21 hours ago

It’s Eggnog Season. The Boozy Beverage Dates Back to Medieval England but Remains a Holiday Hit

21 hours ago

9-Year-Old Among 5 Killed in Christmas Market Attack in Germany

22 hours ago

‘It’s Living Hell’: Nurses Say CA Addiction Recovery Program Ended Their Careers

Bobbie Sage thought nursing would be her salvation. She was trapped in an abusive relationship with four kids and looking for a steady incom...

2 hours ago

2 hours ago

‘It’s Living Hell’: Nurses Say CA Addiction Recovery Program Ended Their Careers

2 hours ago

Santa Who? Bizarre Christmas Traditions Stealing the Holiday Spotlight

3 hours ago

New Decisions Boost California’s Zero-Emission Vehicle Mandate, but Major Hurdles Remain

3 hours ago

Only $20K More to Bring Dolly Parton’s Imagination Library to Fresno

19 hours ago

Jeffrey Sachs Warns of Looming US War With Iran

19 hours ago

Cat House on the Kings Urgently Needs You to Donate Dollars and Adopt Your New Best Friend

20 hours ago

The Surprising Sexual Politics of Nicole Kidman’s Kinky ‘Babygirl’

20 hours ago

Why It’s Hard to Control What Gets Taught in Public Schools

Help continue the work that gets you the news that matters most.

Search

Send this to a friend