Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility
New Poll by Democratic Consultant Indicates Janz Could Beat Nunes
bill-new-mug-002
By Bill McEwen, News Director
Published 6 years ago on
August 15, 2018

Share

A poll by a San Francisco consulting firm suggests that Fresno County prosecutor Andrew Janz is gaining ground in his challenge of eight-term Republican Devin Nunes of Tulare.
“The poll found a surprisingly competitive contest between Nunes and Janz, with voters sharply divided in their opinions of Congressman Nunes and the race becoming dead even after voters hear more information about both candidates,” a poll summary stated.

Poll Methodology

Tulchin Research conducted what it described as a scientific survey of 400 likely voters in California’s 22nd District from July 22-25. The poll’s margin of error is plus-minus 4.9 percentage points. Tulchin said that interviews were conducted in English and Spanish.
Findings from an initial round of questions indicated the Nunes, a staunch ally of President Donald Trump, would beat Janz by a 48 percent to 43 percent margin in the Nov. 6 election.
But after more questions, which Tulchin said included “both positive and negative information about both candidates,” Janz drew into a dead heat with Nunes at 47 percent each.
“The polling is a direct result of the dedicated volunteers and grassroots supporters we have here on the ground, making this a real fight in CA-22,” Janz said in a statement. “But at the end of the day, the only poll that truly matters is the final vote count on November 6th.”
Polls that provide additional information about candidates are often called “push polls.” Without knowing the specific information provided, it’s impossible to know if the poll was designed to “push” respondents toward Janz.
Nunes won the June 5 primary with 57.6% of the vote and Janz finished second with 31.7 percent. Two other Democrats in the race attracted a combined 8.5 percent.
In the latest campaign filings covering the period through June 30, Janz raised $2.8 million That is seven times more than any Nunes opponent has ever raised.
Nunes has attracted $7.4 million in campaign donations.

Pollster Works With Democrats

Tulchin specializes in research for Democratic candidates and progressive issues. For example, it worked with Sen. Bernie Sanders’ unsuccessful effort to win the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016. Among its clients is the Service Employees International Union.
A Janz campaign spokeswoman said the campaign did not commission the poll. GV Wire asked Tulchin Research who paid for the poll but did not receive a response before publication of this story.
You can read Tulchin’s report below.
[tnc-pdf-viewer-iframe file=”https://gvwire.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/District-22-Poll-Results.pdf” width=”800″ height=”800″ download=”true” print=”true” fullscreen=”true” share=”true” zoom=”true” open=”true” pagenav=”true” logo=”true” find=”true” current_view=”true” rotate=”true” handtool=”true” doc_prop=”true” toggle_menu=”true” language=”en-US” page=”” default_zoom=”auto” pagemode=””]  

DON'T MISS

Oakland Officials Vote to Include ‘San Francisco’ in Airport’s Name

DON'T MISS

Several Writers Decline Recognition From PEN America in Protest Over Its Israel-Hamas War Stance

DON'T MISS

US Consumer Sentiment Falls Slightly as Outlook for Inflation Worsens

DON'T MISS

A Near-Total Ban on Abortion Has Supercharged the Political Dynamics of Arizona, a Key Swing State

DON'T MISS

Convicted Killer of College Student Kristin Smart Attacked at California Prison for Second Time

DON'T MISS

House Advances Reauthorization of US Spy Program as GOP Upheaval Threatens Final Passage

DON'T MISS

While California Politicians Skirmish Over Housing, the Shortage Keeps Growing

DON'T MISS

Tennessee Lawmakers Send Bill to Ban First-Cousin Marriages to Governor

DON'T MISS

Instagram Blurs Nude Messages to Protect Teens, Fight Sexual Extortion

DON'T MISS

Ohtani’s Ex-Interpreter Charged With Stealing $16M in Betting Case

UP NEXT

Several Writers Decline Recognition From PEN America in Protest Over Its Israel-Hamas War Stance

UP NEXT

US Consumer Sentiment Falls Slightly as Outlook for Inflation Worsens

UP NEXT

Tennessee Lawmakers Send Bill to Ban First-Cousin Marriages to Governor

UP NEXT

Instagram Blurs Nude Messages to Protect Teens, Fight Sexual Extortion

UP NEXT

Fresno Monopoly is Coming. You Have a Chance to Make It Your Own.

UP NEXT

Harvard Again Requiring Standardized Test Scores for Those Seeking Admission

UP NEXT

Wife of Julian Assange Says Biden’s Comments Mean Case Could Be Moving in the Right Direction

UP NEXT

Fresno’s ‘Rods on the Bluff’ Is Driven by Friendship, Creativity, and Achievement

UP NEXT

Salmon Fishing Is Banned off the California Coast for the Second Year in a Row

UP NEXT

Making Cement Is Very Damaging for the Climate. One Solution Is Opening in California

Bill McEwen,
News Director
Bill McEwen is news director and columnist for GV Wire. He joined GV Wire in August 2017 after 37 years at The Fresno Bee. With The Bee, he served as Opinion Editor, City Hall reporter, Metro columnist, sports columnist and sports editor through the years. His work has been frequently honored by the California Newspapers Publishers Association, including authoring first-place editorials in 2015 and 2016. Bill and his wife, Karen, are proud parents of two adult sons, and they have two grandsons. You can contact Bill at 559-492-4031 or at Send an Email

A Near-Total Ban on Abortion Has Supercharged the Political Dynamics of Arizona, a Key Swing State

1 hour ago

Convicted Killer of College Student Kristin Smart Attacked at California Prison for Second Time

1 hour ago

House Advances Reauthorization of US Spy Program as GOP Upheaval Threatens Final Passage

1 hour ago

While California Politicians Skirmish Over Housing, the Shortage Keeps Growing

5 hours ago

Tennessee Lawmakers Send Bill to Ban First-Cousin Marriages to Governor

5 hours ago

Instagram Blurs Nude Messages to Protect Teens, Fight Sexual Extortion

18 hours ago

Ohtani’s Ex-Interpreter Charged With Stealing $16M in Betting Case

18 hours ago

Fresno Monopoly is Coming. You Have a Chance to Make It Your Own.

18 hours ago

US Measles Cases Are up in 2024. What’s Driving the Increase?

18 hours ago

Harvard Again Requiring Standardized Test Scores for Those Seeking Admission

18 hours ago

Oakland Officials Vote to Include ‘San Francisco’ in Airport’s Name

Oakland officials have voted in favor of changing the name of the city’s airport to San Francisco Bay Oakland International Airport, despite...

19 mins ago

19 mins ago

Oakland Officials Vote to Include ‘San Francisco’ in Airport’s Name

26 mins ago

Several Writers Decline Recognition From PEN America in Protest Over Its Israel-Hamas War Stance

1 hour ago

US Consumer Sentiment Falls Slightly as Outlook for Inflation Worsens

1 hour ago

A Near-Total Ban on Abortion Has Supercharged the Political Dynamics of Arizona, a Key Swing State

1 hour ago

Convicted Killer of College Student Kristin Smart Attacked at California Prison for Second Time

1 hour ago

House Advances Reauthorization of US Spy Program as GOP Upheaval Threatens Final Passage

5 hours ago

While California Politicians Skirmish Over Housing, the Shortage Keeps Growing

5 hours ago

Tennessee Lawmakers Send Bill to Ban First-Cousin Marriages to Governor

MENU

CONNECT WITH US

Search

Send this to a friend