Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Prime Minister of Yemen’s Houthi Government Killed in Israeli Strike

3 days ago

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott Signs Law Redrawing Congressional Maps

3 days ago

US Air Force will Offer Military Funeral Honors to Slain Capitol Rioter

3 days ago

US Republican Senator Joni Ernst Will Not Run for Re-Election, CBS News Reports

4 days ago

Wall Street Falls as Dell, Nvidia Drive Tech Losses

4 days ago

US Denies Visas to Palestinian Officials Ahead of UN General Assembly

4 days ago

Minneapolis Children Revealed Courage, Absorbed Fear During Church Shooting

4 days ago

Ford Recalls Nearly 500,000 Vehicles Over Brake Fluid Leak

4 days ago

Fresno-Bound Passenger Says Delta Attendant Slapped Him, Seeks $20M

5 days ago
Trump Tariffs Have Valley Farmers on Edge With Billions of Dollars at Stake
Edward Smith updated website photo 2024
By Edward Smith
Published 6 months ago on
March 4, 2025

President Donald Trump's promised tariffs could took effect Tuesday against China, Mexico, and Canada, major export destinations for California ag. (GV Wire Composite/David Rodriguez)

Share

Getting your Trinity Audio player ready...

With countries issuing retaliatory tariffs in response to President Donald Trump’s protective orders Tuesday morning, actions from import destinations may soon hit close to home for Central Valley farmers.

“For pistachios, all tree nuts, so much goes overseas — 65%, 70%, sometimes as much as 75% — anything that disrupts that movement is going to have an adverse effect. We saw it the last time we had these tariffs put in place in China.” — Jim Zion, managing partner with Meridian Growers 

China made it clear that it would impose tariffs up 15% on chicken, pork, soy, and beef products from the U.S. beginning March 10, according to ProFarmer.com. It would put a 10% on fruits, vegetables, and dairy products, which includes tree nuts. That brings the total duty on tree nuts to 35%.

North of the border, Canada promised an immediate 25% tariff on $20 billion of U.S. imports. More tariffs would be placed on $86 billion of U.S. goods, ProFarmer reported. What’s less clear is how that country, a major importer of U.S. agricultural goods, would tax specific crops.

For growers, tariffs on potash and nitrogen from Canada could mean major price increases on fertilizer.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has kept her country’s strategies quieter, saying she has several plans depending on different actions from Trump.

But growers are also keeping an eye on the European Union, a major importer of U.S. agricultural products.

“For pistachios, all tree nuts, so much goes overseas — 65%, 70%, sometimes as much as 75% — anything that disrupts that movement is going to have an adverse effect,” said Jim Zion, managing partner with Meridian Growers. “We saw it the last time we had these tariffs put in place in China.”

Growers Wait and See for Extent of Tariff Damage

While shippers await which tariffs take place, Zion said some overseas customers have been calling to get orders rushed in.

“A Mexico customer asked about what we could ship out as soon as possible in anticipation that there may be retaliatory tariffs put on pistachios,” Zion said.

Together, Canada, Mexico, and China make up 25% of the export market, Zion said. Behind the U.S., the E.U. is the biggest consumer of the nut, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. It also imports the second largest amount of the nut, behind China.

How the E.U. will respond remains unseen, with threats from the coalition directed more toward bourbon, motorcycles, and jeans, ProFarmer reports.

Trump has said the E.U. blocks too many ag products, but Politico reports that the body’s culinary, phytosanitary, and political obstacles prevent many imports.

Requests for response made by GV Wire were not returned from the citrus and fresh fruit industries.

The Almond Board of California is also looking at possible tariffs on almonds. Rick Kushman, spokesperson for the Almond Board said while China is an important market, the nut gets shipped to more than 100 destinations.

“Maintaining a diverse export program is essential,” Kushman said. “We are awaiting more information from Mexico, which is due to be released on Sunday, March 9. Our industry continues to support reducing barriers to trade and smooth market access for California almonds.”

Worst-Case Scenario: New Trade War Could Cost California Ag $6 Billion

Trump’s tariffs are the biggest since the 1930s, impacting about $1.5 trillion in imports, ProFarmer reported.

In December, ag experts at UC Davis’ Giannini Foundation said a new trade war could wipe out a quarter of California’s agricultural exports, costing the state $6 billion annually.

Pistachios and dairy would be the industries hardest hit, according to analysts. Following the 2018 trade war between China and the U.S., almond prices fell from $2.50 per pound to as low as $1.40, causing many growers to pull up orchards.

Nut prices have only recently stabilized.

Low Pistachio Inventories Dull Impact of Tariffs

The 35% duty on pistachios makes the nut less competitive compared to Iran and Turkey, the next major producers. Major cities Shanghai and Beijing prefer the premium U.S. nut whereas smaller cities prefer more competitively prices Iranian imports, according to the USDA’s February report.

Extreme heat has stunted pistachio growth in Iran, despite a forecasted 20% increase in production. Turkey’s “on-year” of the pistachios alternate-bearing crop cycle could more than double production to 385,000 tons this harvest.

In California, growers expect this year to be an “on-year,” meaning a strong harvest. Strong demand has led to scant carryover from last year, Zion said.

“It’s good it’s happening now because most of the crop has been sold,” Zion said.

Farmers Depend on Canada for Fertilizer

The Fertilizer Institute called on Trump to create a carveout for fertilizers, essential to farming.

Manufacturers rely on Canada for potash imports, a key ingredient in the mixtures. As much as 85% comes from Canada as mineral deposits are geographically specific and mining is time intensive and costly, the institute said in a statement.

Canada also supplies nearly 10% of the country’s nitrogen needs and 20% of sulfur.

“A stable and affordable supply of fertilizers is critical to maintaining the global competitiveness of U.S. farmers, strengthening rural economies, and keeping food prices in check,” said Corey Rosenbusch, president and CEO of The Fertilizer Institute.

RELATED TOPICS:

DON'T MISS

What Are Fresno Real Estate Experts Predicting for 2025 and Beyond?

DON'T MISS

First California EV Mandates Hit Automakers This Year. Most Are Not Even Close

DON'T MISS

Tulare County Authorities Investigate Porterville Shooting

DON'T MISS

Trump’s World Liberty Token Falls in First Day of Trading

DON'T MISS

Bessent Expects Supreme Court to Uphold Legality of Trump’s Tariffs but Eyes Plan B

DON'T MISS

Trump Says Rudy Giuliani Will Receive Top US Civilian Honor

DON'T MISS

Aid Flotilla for Gaza Departs Barcelona After Stormy Weather Turnaround

DON'T MISS

Fresno County Garnet Fire Grows to 18,748 Acres in Sierra National Forest

DON'T MISS

US Judge Blocks Deportations of Unaccompanied Migrant Children to Guatemala

DON'T MISS

Israel Pounds Gaza City Suburbs, Netanyahu to Convene Security Cabinet

DON'T MISS

Thousands in Australia March Against Immigration, Government Condemns Rally

DON'T MISS

Trump Says He Will Order Voter ID Requirement for Every Vote

UP NEXT

Trump’s World Liberty Token Falls in First Day of Trading

UP NEXT

Bessent Expects Supreme Court to Uphold Legality of Trump’s Tariffs but Eyes Plan B

UP NEXT

Trump Says Rudy Giuliani Will Receive Top US Civilian Honor

UP NEXT

Aid Flotilla for Gaza Departs Barcelona After Stormy Weather Turnaround

UP NEXT

Fresno County Garnet Fire Grows to 18,748 Acres in Sierra National Forest

UP NEXT

US Judge Blocks Deportations of Unaccompanied Migrant Children to Guatemala

UP NEXT

Israel Pounds Gaza City Suburbs, Netanyahu to Convene Security Cabinet

UP NEXT

Thousands in Australia March Against Immigration, Government Condemns Rally

UP NEXT

Trump Says He Will Order Voter ID Requirement for Every Vote

UP NEXT

Greta Thunberg Joins Flotilla Heading for Gaza With Aid

Edward Smith,
Multimedia Journalist
Edward Smith began reporting for GV Wire in May 2023. His reporting career began at Fresno City College, graduating with an associate degree in journalism. After leaving school he spent the next six years with The Business Journal, doing research for the publication as well as covering the restaurant industry. Soon after, he took on real estate and agriculture beats, winning multiple awards at the local, state and national level. You can contact Edward at 559-440-8372 or at Edward.Smith@gvwirenews.kinsta.cloud.

Trump Says Rudy Giuliani Will Receive Top US Civilian Honor

6 hours ago

Aid Flotilla for Gaza Departs Barcelona After Stormy Weather Turnaround

6 hours ago

Fresno County Garnet Fire Grows to 18,748 Acres in Sierra National Forest

2 days ago

US Judge Blocks Deportations of Unaccompanied Migrant Children to Guatemala

2 days ago

Israel Pounds Gaza City Suburbs, Netanyahu to Convene Security Cabinet

2 days ago

Thousands in Australia March Against Immigration, Government Condemns Rally

2 days ago

Trump Says He Will Order Voter ID Requirement for Every Vote

2 days ago

Greta Thunberg Joins Flotilla Heading for Gaza With Aid

2 days ago

Chicago Mayor Says Police Will Not Aid Federal Troops or Agents

2 days ago

Post-War Gaza Plan Sees Relocation of Population, ‘Digital Token’ for Palestinian Land: Washington Post

2 days ago

Tulare County Authorities Investigate Porterville Shooting

Tulare County sheriff’s deputies are investigating a shooting that left a man injured in Porterville on Monday afternoon. Deputies were call...

4 hours ago

A man was hospitalized after being shot Monday, Sept. 1, 2025, afternoon in Porterville, and Tulare County sheriff’s detectives are investigating. (Tulare County SO)
4 hours ago

Tulare County Authorities Investigate Porterville Shooting

Zach Witkoff, Co-Founder and CEO of World Liberty Financial, Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump pose before they ring the opening bell to celebrate the closing of ALT5’s $1.5 billion offering and adoption of its $WLFI Treasury Strategy at the Nasdaq Market, in New York City, U.S., August 13, 2025. (Reuters File)
4 hours ago

Trump’s World Liberty Token Falls in First Day of Trading

U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent pays his bill during a Labor Day visit to McLean Family Restaurant in McLean, Virginia, U.S., September 1, 2025. (Reuters/Brian Snyder)
4 hours ago

Bessent Expects Supreme Court to Uphold Legality of Trump’s Tariffs but Eyes Plan B

Former New York City Mayor and former lawyer for U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, Rudy Giuliani walks outside United States District Court in Manhattan, where a judge will consider a request by two Georgia election workers to whom he owes $148 million for defamation to hold him in civil contempt for failing to turn over his assets, in New York City, U.S., January 3, 2025. (Reuters File)
6 hours ago

Trump Says Rudy Giuliani Will Receive Top US Civilian Honor

Swedish activist Greta Thunberg departs with other activists on the Global Sumud Flotilla, a humanitarian expedition to Gaza, from the port of Barcelona, Spain August 31, 2025. The Sagrada Familia is seen in the background. (Reuters File)
6 hours ago

Aid Flotilla for Gaza Departs Barcelona After Stormy Weather Turnaround

Photo: USDA - Forest Service Tanker 40 at Fresno Air Attack Base. The Fresno County Garnet Fire in the Sierra National Forest has burned 18,748 acres and is 8% contained as crews make progress on containment lines while bracing for possible thunderstorms early this week. (Sam Wu/USFS)
2 days ago

Fresno County Garnet Fire Grows to 18,748 Acres in Sierra National Forest

U.S. flag and Judge gavel are seen in this illustration taken, August 6, 2024. (Reuters File)
2 days ago

US Judge Blocks Deportations of Unaccompanied Migrant Children to Guatemala

Smoke rises from Gaza after an explosion, as seen from the Israeli side of the border, August 31, 2025. (Reuters/Amir Cohen)
2 days ago

Israel Pounds Gaza City Suburbs, Netanyahu to Convene Security Cabinet

Search

Help continue the work that gets you the news that matters most.

Send this to a friend