Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility
Harris Leads Trump in Three Key States, Times/Siena Polls Find
d8a347b41db1ddee634e2d67d08798c102ef09ac
By The New York Times
Published 7 months ago on
August 11, 2024

Supporters at a rally with Vice President Kamala Harris, in Atlanta on Tuesday, July 30, 2024. (NYT/Jill Frank)

Share

Getting your Trinity Audio player ready...

Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump in three crucial battleground states, according to new surveys by The New York Times and Siena College, the latest indication of a dramatic reversal in standing for Democrats after President Joe Biden’s departure from the presidential race remade it.

Harris is ahead of Trump by 4 percentage points in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, 50% to 46% among likely voters in each state. The surveys were conducted from Aug. 5-9.

The polls, some of the first high-quality surveys in those states since Biden announced he would no longer run for reelection, come after nearly a year of surveys that showed either a tied contest or a slight lead for Trump over Biden.

While the reshaped race is still in its volatile early weeks, Democrats are now in a notably stronger position in these three battleground states. Still, the results show vulnerabilities for Harris: Voters prefer Trump when it comes to whom they trust to handle the economy and immigration, issues that remain central to the presidential race.

Data from the latest New York Times/Siena College poll of swing states. New surveys of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania taken this week offer the latest indication of a dramatic reversal in the Democrats’ favor. (Lily Boyce and Andrew Park/The New York Times)

Harris Polling Better Than Biden Did

Harris’ numbers are an upswing for Democrats from Biden’s performance in those states, even before his much-maligned debate showing that destabilized his candidacy. In May, Biden was virtually tied with Trump in Times/Siena polling in Wisconsin and Michigan. Polling conducted before and after the debate in July showed Trump with a narrow lead in Pennsylvania.

Much of the newfound Democratic strength stems from improved voter perceptions of Harris. Her favorability rating has increased 10 percentage points among registered voters in Pennsylvania just in the past month, according to Times/Siena polling. Voters also view Harris as more intelligent and more temperamentally fit to govern than Trump.

The polls offer an early snapshot of a race that was transformed in little more than two weeks. The whirlwind of political change seized the nation’s attention and reinvigorated some voters who were approaching the rematch between Biden and Trump with a deep sense of dread.

It is unclear how much of Harris’ bounce in the polls stems from the heightened excitement surrounding her ascension to the top of the ticket, or whether that momentum will last. Candidates traditionally gain a few percentage points in the days after announcing their running mates; Harris announced her selection of Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota on Tuesday, as voters were responding to the Times/Siena surveys in Michigan and Wisconsin.

In the three battlegrounds, Harris is in a stronger position than Biden was in May with most demographic groups. But the polls also indicate clear vulnerabilities for the new Democratic nominee: They found that 42% of voters said Harris was too liberal; 37% said the same about Biden last October.

—

This article originally appeared in The New York Times.

By Lisa Lerer and Ruth Igielnik

c.2024 The New York Times Company

 

RELATED TOPICS:

DON'T MISS

Spring Break Prices Hit Record High – These Affordable Destinations Are Trending

DON'T MISS

Then and Now: How Republican Senators Have Shifted Tone on Russia and Ukraine

DON'T MISS

Pope Francis in Critical Condition After Long Respiratory Crisis

DON'T MISS

Musk Gives All Federal Workers 48 Hours to Explain What They Did Last Week

DON'T MISS

Fresno State Suspends 2 Players, Removes Another Amid Gambling Investigation

DON'T MISS

Israel Delays Release of Palestinian Prisoners, Citing ‘Degrading’ Hostage Handovers

DON'T MISS

Officer Killed After Gunman Took Hostages at Pennsylvania Hospital

DON'T MISS

Kash Patel Plans to Move Up to 1,500 Workers Out of Washington

DON'T MISS

Fired Employees Fear Beloved Yosemite National Park Will Lose Its Luster

DON'T MISS

US and Ukraine Nearing Rare Earths Deal That Would Tighten Relationship

UP NEXT

Then and Now: How Republican Senators Have Shifted Tone on Russia and Ukraine

UP NEXT

Pope Francis in Critical Condition After Long Respiratory Crisis

UP NEXT

Musk Gives All Federal Workers 48 Hours to Explain What They Did Last Week

UP NEXT

Fresno State Suspends 2 Players, Removes Another Amid Gambling Investigation

UP NEXT

Israel Delays Release of Palestinian Prisoners, Citing ‘Degrading’ Hostage Handovers

UP NEXT

Officer Killed After Gunman Took Hostages at Pennsylvania Hospital

UP NEXT

Kash Patel Plans to Move Up to 1,500 Workers Out of Washington

UP NEXT

Fired Employees Fear Beloved Yosemite National Park Will Lose Its Luster

UP NEXT

US and Ukraine Nearing Rare Earths Deal That Would Tighten Relationship

UP NEXT

Trump Fires Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and Two Other Military Officers

Musk Gives All Federal Workers 48 Hours to Explain What They Did Last Week

21 hours ago

Fresno State Suspends 2 Players, Removes Another Amid Gambling Investigation

21 hours ago

Israel Delays Release of Palestinian Prisoners, Citing ‘Degrading’ Hostage Handovers

21 hours ago

Officer Killed After Gunman Took Hostages at Pennsylvania Hospital

21 hours ago

Kash Patel Plans to Move Up to 1,500 Workers Out of Washington

1 day ago

Fired Employees Fear Beloved Yosemite National Park Will Lose Its Luster

1 day ago

US and Ukraine Nearing Rare Earths Deal That Would Tighten Relationship

1 day ago

Trump Fires Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and Two Other Military Officers

1 day ago

Less Is More: 5 Ingredient Dinners Are Easier Than You Think

1 day ago

Trump-Putin Summit Preparations Are Underway, Russia Says

1 day ago

Spring Break Prices Hit Record High – These Affordable Destinations Are Trending

Spring break 2025 is set to be the most expensive on record, with trip budgets up an average of 26%, according to Yahoo Finance. The beach s...

5 hours ago

5 hours ago

Spring Break Prices Hit Record High – These Affordable Destinations Are Trending

7 hours ago

Then and Now: How Republican Senators Have Shifted Tone on Russia and Ukraine

20 hours ago

Pope Francis in Critical Condition After Long Respiratory Crisis

21 hours ago

Musk Gives All Federal Workers 48 Hours to Explain What They Did Last Week

21 hours ago

Fresno State Suspends 2 Players, Removes Another Amid Gambling Investigation

21 hours ago

Israel Delays Release of Palestinian Prisoners, Citing ‘Degrading’ Hostage Handovers

21 hours ago

Officer Killed After Gunman Took Hostages at Pennsylvania Hospital

1 day ago

Kash Patel Plans to Move Up to 1,500 Workers Out of Washington

Help continue the work that gets you the news that matters most.

Search

Send this to a friend