Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility
Harris Leads Trump in Three Key States, Times/Siena Polls Find
d8a347b41db1ddee634e2d67d08798c102ef09ac
By The New York Times
Published 9 months ago on
August 11, 2024

Supporters at a rally with Vice President Kamala Harris, in Atlanta on Tuesday, July 30, 2024. (NYT/Jill Frank)

Share

Getting your Trinity Audio player ready...

Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump in three crucial battleground states, according to new surveys by The New York Times and Siena College, the latest indication of a dramatic reversal in standing for Democrats after President Joe Biden’s departure from the presidential race remade it.

Harris is ahead of Trump by 4 percentage points in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, 50% to 46% among likely voters in each state. The surveys were conducted from Aug. 5-9.

The polls, some of the first high-quality surveys in those states since Biden announced he would no longer run for reelection, come after nearly a year of surveys that showed either a tied contest or a slight lead for Trump over Biden.

While the reshaped race is still in its volatile early weeks, Democrats are now in a notably stronger position in these three battleground states. Still, the results show vulnerabilities for Harris: Voters prefer Trump when it comes to whom they trust to handle the economy and immigration, issues that remain central to the presidential race.

Data from the latest New York Times/Siena College poll of swing states. New surveys of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania taken this week offer the latest indication of a dramatic reversal in the Democrats’ favor. (Lily Boyce and Andrew Park/The New York Times)

Harris Polling Better Than Biden Did

Harris’ numbers are an upswing for Democrats from Biden’s performance in those states, even before his much-maligned debate showing that destabilized his candidacy. In May, Biden was virtually tied with Trump in Times/Siena polling in Wisconsin and Michigan. Polling conducted before and after the debate in July showed Trump with a narrow lead in Pennsylvania.

Much of the newfound Democratic strength stems from improved voter perceptions of Harris. Her favorability rating has increased 10 percentage points among registered voters in Pennsylvania just in the past month, according to Times/Siena polling. Voters also view Harris as more intelligent and more temperamentally fit to govern than Trump.

The polls offer an early snapshot of a race that was transformed in little more than two weeks. The whirlwind of political change seized the nation’s attention and reinvigorated some voters who were approaching the rematch between Biden and Trump with a deep sense of dread.

It is unclear how much of Harris’ bounce in the polls stems from the heightened excitement surrounding her ascension to the top of the ticket, or whether that momentum will last. Candidates traditionally gain a few percentage points in the days after announcing their running mates; Harris announced her selection of Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota on Tuesday, as voters were responding to the Times/Siena surveys in Michigan and Wisconsin.

In the three battlegrounds, Harris is in a stronger position than Biden was in May with most demographic groups. But the polls also indicate clear vulnerabilities for the new Democratic nominee: They found that 42% of voters said Harris was too liberal; 37% said the same about Biden last October.

This article originally appeared in The New York Times.

By Lisa Lerer and Ruth Igielnik

c.2024 The New York Times Company

 

RELATED TOPICS:

DON'T MISS

What Are Fresno Real Estate Experts Predicting for 2025 and Beyond?

DON'T MISS

First California EV Mandates Hit Automakers This Year. Most Are Not Even Close

DON'T MISS

One Person Killed in Explosion Outside Fertility Clinic; Police Say Act Was ‘Intentional’

DON'T MISS

Trump Wants a Deal With Iran, but It May Be Weaker Than His Supporters Demand

DON'T MISS

Duffy Blamed Biden for Air Traffic Woes. It’s a Decades-Old Problem.

DON'T MISS

The Day Grok Lost Its Mind

DON'T MISS

Police and Firefighters Respond to an Explosion Rocking the California City of Palm Springs

DON'T MISS

Clovis Goes Full Throttle With Biggest Old Town Motorama Yet

DON'T MISS

Israel Launches a New Military Operation in Gaza a Day After Trump Leaves the Middle East

DON'T MISS

Kristen Stewart Was Always Ready to Direct

DON'T MISS

Walz Calls Trump a ‘Tyrant’ Who Is Trampling Americans’ Rights and Violating the Rule of Law

DON'T MISS

Severe Weather Leaves at Least 23 Dead, Including 14 in Storm-Battered Kentucky

UP NEXT

Trump Wants a Deal With Iran, but It May Be Weaker Than His Supporters Demand

UP NEXT

Duffy Blamed Biden for Air Traffic Woes. It’s a Decades-Old Problem.

UP NEXT

The Day Grok Lost Its Mind

UP NEXT

Police and Firefighters Respond to an Explosion Rocking the California City of Palm Springs

UP NEXT

Clovis Goes Full Throttle With Biggest Old Town Motorama Yet

UP NEXT

Israel Launches a New Military Operation in Gaza a Day After Trump Leaves the Middle East

UP NEXT

Kristen Stewart Was Always Ready to Direct

UP NEXT

Walz Calls Trump a ‘Tyrant’ Who Is Trampling Americans’ Rights and Violating the Rule of Law

UP NEXT

Severe Weather Leaves at Least 23 Dead, Including 14 in Storm-Battered Kentucky

UP NEXT

Trump Says He Will Call Putin, Then Zelenskyy, on Monday to Push for Ukraine Ceasefire

The Day Grok Lost Its Mind

2 hours ago

Police and Firefighters Respond to an Explosion Rocking the California City of Palm Springs

3 hours ago

Clovis Goes Full Throttle With Biggest Old Town Motorama Yet

4 hours ago

Israel Launches a New Military Operation in Gaza a Day After Trump Leaves the Middle East

4 hours ago

Kristen Stewart Was Always Ready to Direct

5 hours ago

Walz Calls Trump a ‘Tyrant’ Who Is Trampling Americans’ Rights and Violating the Rule of Law

5 hours ago

Severe Weather Leaves at Least 23 Dead, Including 14 in Storm-Battered Kentucky

6 hours ago

Trump Says He Will Call Putin, Then Zelenskyy, on Monday to Push for Ukraine Ceasefire

6 hours ago

‘Eat the Tariffs!’: Trump Warns Walmart Not to Pass Costs to Customers

7 hours ago

Biden Audio Release Pressures Democrats Who Would Rather Talk About Trump

7 hours ago

One Person Killed in Explosion Outside Fertility Clinic; Police Say Act Was ‘Intentional’

An explosion that heavily damaged a fertility clinic in the upscale California city of Palm Springs appears to have been intentional, local ...

1 hour ago

1 hour ago

One Person Killed in Explosion Outside Fertility Clinic; Police Say Act Was ‘Intentional’

2 hours ago

Trump Wants a Deal With Iran, but It May Be Weaker Than His Supporters Demand

2 hours ago

Duffy Blamed Biden for Air Traffic Woes. It’s a Decades-Old Problem.

2 hours ago

The Day Grok Lost Its Mind

3 hours ago

Police and Firefighters Respond to an Explosion Rocking the California City of Palm Springs

The Old Town Motorama in Clovis is expected to draw up to 35,000 people Saturday for its biggest classic car show yet.
4 hours ago

Clovis Goes Full Throttle With Biggest Old Town Motorama Yet

4 hours ago

Israel Launches a New Military Operation in Gaza a Day After Trump Leaves the Middle East

5 hours ago

Kristen Stewart Was Always Ready to Direct

Help continue the work that gets you the news that matters most.

Search

Send this to a friend