The 2024 presidential campaign sees Kamala Harris and Donald Trump statistically tied, with a significant number of undecided voters, particularly among independents and women, presenting a crucial opportunity for Harris to secure support. (GV Wire Composite/Anthony W. Haddad)
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The 2024 presidential campaign has seen a reset with more voters undecided now that Kamala Harris is potentially the Democratic nominee, according to a new NPR/PBS News/Marist poll.
Harris and former President Donald Trump are statistically tied, but 1 in 5 independents, including nearly 3 in 10 independent women, are undecided. These next few weeks are crucial for Harris to reintroduce herself before views solidify.
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Democrats are feeling better about their chances, with Black voters particularly fired up to vote. Harris needs to win over independents, suburban, and white voters, while Trump needs to focus on younger and nonwhite voters. Americans overwhelmingly agree with Biden’s choice to step aside and think he should finish his term.
In a head-to-head matchup, Trump leads with 46% to Harris’s 45%, with 9% undecided. In a five-way contest, both get 42%, with other candidates pulling in minimal support. Harris retains Gen Z/Millennial and nonwhite voters better than Biden did. Significant numbers of various groups have moved into the undecided category, presenting an opportunity for Harris.
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By a 77%-22% margin, Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents want Harris as the nominee. Black voters (50%), Latinos (46%), and voters aged 18-29 (43%) are most likely to vote now that Biden has stepped aside. Biden’s decision is seen positively by 87% of respondents, including across party lines.
Potential VP picks for Harris include Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Biden’s legacy is mixed, with half rating him below average or one of the worst presidents.
Harris has a 40% positive and 44% negative rating, while Trump has a 43% positive and 49% negative rating. Black voters favor Harris (61%), while white evangelical Christians (73%) and men without college degrees (62%) support Trump. Sen. JD Vance, Trump’s VP pick, remains largely unknown.
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Read more at NPR.
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