Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility
Retail Sales Rise Solid 0.7% in September, Reflecting US Shoppers' Resilience Despite Higher Prices
By admin
Published 1 year ago on
October 17, 2023

Share

Getting your Trinity Audio player ready...

NEW YORK — Americans showed their steadfast resilience and kept spending online, at restaurants and other outlets in September even as they grappled with higher prices, rising interest rates and a host of other headwinds piling up.

Retail Sales Overview

Retail sales rose 0.7% in September, more than twice what economists had expected, and close to a revised 0.8% bump in August, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. Retail sales in August were inflated after gasoline prices spiked, however. That was not the case in September when gas prices rose more slowly.

A closely watched category of retail sales that excludes auto dealers, gas stations and building materials and feeds into the gross domestic product jumped 0.6% last month compared to the prior month.

Tuesday’s sales figures aren’t adjusted for inflation, but the cost of goods barely rose last month, so the increased spending isn’t a reflection of higher prices. Prices for durable goods, such as those sold by appliance and electronics stores, actually fell last month.

Consumer Spending

The government’s monthly retail sales report offers only a partial look at consumer spending; it doesn’t include many services, including health care, travel and hotel lodging. But it does cover spending at restaurants, which had a solid 0.9% increase. Spending online rose 1.1% last month, according to the report. Sales at general merchandise stores rose 0.4%.

Sales at home furnishings and furniture stores were flat, while electronics stores and outlets that sell building materials saw declines reflecting a difficult housing market.

Impact on Economy

The retail sales report, which reflects the sixth consecutive monthly gain, reinforces the fact that American consumers, as a whole, are showing no signs of pulling back on their spending, which powers most of the economy. That spending comes despite attempts by the Federal Reserve to cool spending and hiring. That’s good news heading into the critical holiday shopping season. But the robust sales report also means that the Fed officials could leave the door open for additional rate hikes. That means that shoppers could face higher interest rates for awhile.

“If the cost-of-living crisis has hit consumer confidence, you wouldn’t know it judging by a second month of strong retail sales with the consumer buying everything that wasn’t nailed down,” said Christopher S. Rupkey, chief economist at FWDBONDS LLC, a financial markets research company. “Fed officials have another rate hike this year up on their forecast board, and they will need to use it, if the economic data continues to surprise economists on the upside.”

Future Concerns

Still, questions remain whether shoppers will finally buckle under more bad news piling up from federal budget wrangling, the resumption of student loan repayments, and new global tensions tied to the Oct. 7 surprise attack by Hamas in Israel. The moratorium on student loan payments lifted Oct. 1. Analysts say that shoppers could also become rattled if the Israel-Hamas war is not contained.

Moreover, the relentless spending by shoppers also comes at a cost to their household finances.

“We have repeatedly under-estimated the U.S. consumer, “ said Tim Quinlan, a senior economist at Wells Fargo Economics. ”But in pulling off this spending spree, consumers have dented their household finances, a theme that is evident not only in the diminished savings, but also the trend rise in credit card delinquencies.”

Economic Outlook

Healthy consumer spending is expected to lift the economy’s growth rate to about 3.5% or possibly even higher in the July-September quarter. September’s strong sales also suggests the economy may not slow as much in the final three months of the year as previously expected, analysts said.

The retail sales report came as businesses across the U.S. economy ramped up hiring in September, defying surging interest rates, and the ongoing threat of a government shutdown. The strength of hiring has surprised economists inside and outside of the Fed.

Consumer prices rose 0.4% from August to September, below the previous month’s 0.6% pace. The report from the Labor Department also showed that year-over-year inflation was flat last month from a 3.7% rise in August.

Holiday Shopping Season

Meanwhile, retailers are pulling out discounts and other incentives to get shoppers to open their wallets for the holiday season as they worry about shoppers’ finances. Best Buy, the nation’s largest consumer electronics retailer, unveiled a new experience that gives shoppers a chance to access some of the biggest deals and cool gadgets of the holiday season. The items, which kicked off late last month, are only available in limited quantities and exclusively through the Best Buy app.

RELATED TOPICS:

DON'T MISS

Trump’s Budget Plan Puts David Valadao on the Medi-Cal Hot Seat

DON'T MISS

Meta to Start Testing Crowd-Sourced Fact-Checking, Based on X Example, Next Week

DON'T MISS

The One-Take Wonder of ‘Adolescence,’ a Family Drama About Knife Crime

DON'T MISS

Senate Dems Refuse to Go Along With GOP Spending Plan, as Shutdown Deadline Nears

DON'T MISS

49ers Agree to 2-Year Contract With QB Mac Jones, AP Source Says

DON'T MISS

Belgian Prosecutors Arrest Suspects in Huawei Bribery Probe Targeting EU Parliament

DON'T MISS

Trump Threatens 200% Tariff on EU Wine in Response to Proposed US Whiskey Tax

DON'T MISS

Putin Agrees in Principle With US Proposal for 30-Day Ceasefire in Ukraine

DON'T MISS

Playful Laser-Dot Chasing Bogey Is Ready to Be Your Buddy

DON'T MISS

Valley Crime Stoppers’ Most Wanted Person of the Day: Rebecca Ann Maestas

UP NEXT

US Factories Likely to Feel the Pain From Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs

UP NEXT

US Inflation Cools, Though Trade War Threatens to Lift Prices

UP NEXT

Wall Street Keeps Shaking as Encouraging Inflation Data Helps but Escalating Trade War Hurts

UP NEXT

Explainer: What’s a Recession and Why Is Rising Anxiety About It Roiling Markets?

UP NEXT

California Lawmakers Propose Fixes for ‘Insurance Industry in Shambles’

UP NEXT

Stock Market Today: Wall Street Sinks More After Trump Ups the Ante in His Trade War

UP NEXT

Stock Market Today: Wall Street’s Sell-off Gets Worse as Worries Build About the Economy

UP NEXT

Powell: Federal Reserve to Stay on Hold Amid Widespread Economic Uncertainty

UP NEXT

US Employers Add a Solid 151,000 Jobs Last Month Though Unemployment Up to 4.1%

UP NEXT

Stock Market Today: Wall Street Calms After the Jobs Report Offers No Big Alarms

Senate Dems Refuse to Go Along With GOP Spending Plan, as Shutdown Deadline Nears

32 minutes ago

49ers Agree to 2-Year Contract With QB Mac Jones, AP Source Says

36 minutes ago

Belgian Prosecutors Arrest Suspects in Huawei Bribery Probe Targeting EU Parliament

42 minutes ago

Trump Threatens 200% Tariff on EU Wine in Response to Proposed US Whiskey Tax

49 minutes ago

Putin Agrees in Principle With US Proposal for 30-Day Ceasefire in Ukraine

59 minutes ago

Playful Laser-Dot Chasing Bogey Is Ready to Be Your Buddy

1 hour ago

Valley Crime Stoppers’ Most Wanted Person of the Day: Rebecca Ann Maestas

1 hour ago

Clovis Police Arrest 2 Suspects for Narcotics, Fraud at House Where They Squatted

2 hours ago

Vaccinating Poultry Could Help Cut Soaring Egg Prices but US Remains Hesitant

2 hours ago

Trump Administration Withdraws Nomination of David Weldon for CDC Director

2 hours ago

Trump’s Budget Plan Puts David Valadao on the Medi-Cal Hot Seat

Rep. David Valadao (R-Kings County) finds himself in a precarious position as President Trump pushes for budget cuts that could impact Medic...

13 minutes ago

13 minutes ago

Trump’s Budget Plan Puts David Valadao on the Medi-Cal Hot Seat

21 minutes ago

Meta to Start Testing Crowd-Sourced Fact-Checking, Based on X Example, Next Week

28 minutes ago

The One-Take Wonder of ‘Adolescence,’ a Family Drama About Knife Crime

32 minutes ago

Senate Dems Refuse to Go Along With GOP Spending Plan, as Shutdown Deadline Nears

36 minutes ago

49ers Agree to 2-Year Contract With QB Mac Jones, AP Source Says

42 minutes ago

Belgian Prosecutors Arrest Suspects in Huawei Bribery Probe Targeting EU Parliament

49 minutes ago

Trump Threatens 200% Tariff on EU Wine in Response to Proposed US Whiskey Tax

59 minutes ago

Putin Agrees in Principle With US Proposal for 30-Day Ceasefire in Ukraine

Help continue the work that gets you the news that matters most.

Search

Send this to a friend