Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility
First Public Poll Shows Tuck Well Ahead of Thurmond
David Website Replacement
By David Taub, Senior Reporter
Published 6 years ago on
October 31, 2018

Share

We’re in the final days before the election. And, one of the last polls shows separation among candidates for statewide offices and the U.S. Senate.
The final Berkeley IGS poll indicates dominant leads in the gubernatorial, state superintendent of public instruction, and Senate races. Also, propositions to repeal the gas tax and the law limiting rent control appear headed to defeat.

Photo of GV Wire's David Taub
Politics 101
David Taub
For governor, Democrat Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom leads Republican businessman John Cox, 58%-40%. Both men have hyper-partisan support — 92% of Democrats favor Newsom while 93% of Republicans favor Cox.
What does Cox think of his chances? His tweet may say it all:


In a battle of two Democrats, incumbent Sen. Dianne Feinstein leads challenger Kevin de León, 45%-36%. What do Republicans think about this match-up? A plurality, 43%, say they will sit this one out. Other GOP voters favor de León, 34%-23%.
In one of the most expensive statewide races, Marshall Tuck leads Tony Thurmond by 12 percentage points for state superintendent, 48%-36%. According to EdSource’s Louis Freedberg, this is the first public poll on the general election race. EdSource also reports that spending in the race has reached $50 million, with Tuck enjoying a nearly 2-to-1 edge.
Other poll findings:
— Eleni Kounalakis leads Ed Hernandez, 45%-31%, for lieutenant governor. Both are Democrats. You can view their CALmatters video face-off at this link.
— Steve Poizner (no party preference) leads Democrat Ricardo Lara 49%-44% for insurance commissioner;
— Proposition 6, which would repeal the gas tax, trails 56%-40%. Once again, this seems to be a partisan issue. Republicans favor repeal (a “yes” vote), 80%-19% while Democrats oppose (a “no” vote), 77%-17%.
— Proposition 10, the measure that would allow local jurisdictions more leeway to set rent control, trails 60%-35%.
Likely voters were randomly selected by Political Data, Inc., and interviewed Oct. 19-25. The poll has a sampling error of plus-or-minus 4 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level.
Full results can be seen here.

Ballot Count

The latest update from the Fresno County elections office shows 55,707 ballots turned in through Oct. 30 via mail or in person.
For comparison:

Year Voter turnout Mail-in Ballots Absentee ballot percentage of turnout
2014 163,420 (39%) 98,519 60%
2016 291,890 (67%) 160,103 55%

Water Moratorium

The Fresno City Council meets Thursday in a special meeting to discuss a single subject: a water fine moratorium.
Councilmen Steve Brandau and Garry Bredefeld are behind the effort to put a halt on residential fines for overwatering. The city went to an automated model of detecting usage instead of visually observing watering this past summer. The roll out caused so much confusion that the council will weigh a pause on fines.
Other council members polled by GV Wire indicated the moratorium will pass.

Did de León Hurt His Fresno Vote?

Kevin de León issued a news release about an event at the “nation’s best taco stand.” Alas, the U.S. Senate hopeful is not stopping in Fresno, but at Ave 26 Tacos in Los Angeles.
That might be an ouch for Fresnans, who love to brag about local tacos nearly as much they love to eat them.

DON'T MISS

Jeffrey Sachs Warns of Looming US War With Iran

DON'T MISS

Cat House on the Kings Urgently Needs You to Donate Dollars and Adopt Your New Best Friend

DON'T MISS

The Surprising Sexual Politics of Nicole Kidman’s Kinky ‘Babygirl’

DON'T MISS

Why It’s Hard to Control What Gets Taught in Public Schools

DON'T MISS

FDA Approves Weight-Loss Drug to Treat Obstructive Sleep Apnea

DON'T MISS

In a Calendar Rarity, Hanukkah Starts This Year on Christmas Day

DON'T MISS

A Look at the $100 Billion in Disaster Relief in the Government Spending Bill

DON'T MISS

It’s Eggnog Season. The Boozy Beverage Dates Back to Medieval England but Remains a Holiday Hit

DON'T MISS

9-Year-Old Among 5 Killed in Christmas Market Attack in Germany

DON'T MISS

Biden Signs Bill That Averts Government Shutdown, and Brings a Close to Days of Washington Upheaval

UP NEXT

Cat House on the Kings Urgently Needs You to Donate Dollars and Adopt Your New Best Friend

UP NEXT

The Surprising Sexual Politics of Nicole Kidman’s Kinky ‘Babygirl’

UP NEXT

Why It’s Hard to Control What Gets Taught in Public Schools

UP NEXT

FDA Approves Weight-Loss Drug to Treat Obstructive Sleep Apnea

UP NEXT

In a Calendar Rarity, Hanukkah Starts This Year on Christmas Day

UP NEXT

A Look at the $100 Billion in Disaster Relief in the Government Spending Bill

UP NEXT

It’s Eggnog Season. The Boozy Beverage Dates Back to Medieval England but Remains a Holiday Hit

UP NEXT

9-Year-Old Among 5 Killed in Christmas Market Attack in Germany

UP NEXT

Biden Signs Bill That Averts Government Shutdown, and Brings a Close to Days of Washington Upheaval

UP NEXT

This French Bulldog Is So Fetch: Meet Toaster Strudel

David Taub,
Senior Reporter
Curiosity drives David Taub. The award-winning journalist might be shy, but feels mighty with a recorder in his hand. He doesn't see it his job to "hold public officials accountable," but does see it to provide readers (and voters) the information needed to make intelligent choices. Taub has been honored with several writing awards from the California News Publishers Association. He's just happy to have his stories read. Joining GV Wire in 2016, Taub covers politics, government and elections, mainly in the Fresno/Clovis area. He also writes columns about local eateries (Appetite for Fresno), pro wrestling (Off the Bottom Rope), and media (Media Man). Prior to joining the online news source, Taub worked as a radio producer for KMJ and PowerTalk 96.7 in Fresno. He also worked as an assignment editor for KCOY-TV in Santa Maria, California, and KSEE-TV in Fresno. He has also worked behind the scenes for several sports broadcasts, including the NCAA basketball tournament, and the Super Bowl. When not spending time with his family, Taub loves to officially score Fresno Grizzlies games. Growing up in the San Francisco Bay Area, Taub is a die-hard Giants and 49ers fan. He graduated from the University of Michigan with dual degrees in communications and political science. Go Blue! You can contact David at 559-492-4037 or at Send an Email

Why It’s Hard to Control What Gets Taught in Public Schools

17 hours ago

FDA Approves Weight-Loss Drug to Treat Obstructive Sleep Apnea

17 hours ago

In a Calendar Rarity, Hanukkah Starts This Year on Christmas Day

18 hours ago

A Look at the $100 Billion in Disaster Relief in the Government Spending Bill

18 hours ago

It’s Eggnog Season. The Boozy Beverage Dates Back to Medieval England but Remains a Holiday Hit

18 hours ago

9-Year-Old Among 5 Killed in Christmas Market Attack in Germany

18 hours ago

Biden Signs Bill That Averts Government Shutdown, and Brings a Close to Days of Washington Upheaval

19 hours ago

This French Bulldog Is So Fetch: Meet Toaster Strudel

20 hours ago

The Fed Expects to Cut Rates More Slowly in 2025. What That Could Mean for Mortgages, Debt and More

23 hours ago

New California Voter ID Ban Puts Conservative Cities at Odds With State

24 hours ago

Jeffrey Sachs Warns of Looming US War With Iran

In a recent interview, renowned economist Jeffrey Sachs outlined his concerns about the possibility of war with Iran, framing it as the culm...

15 hours ago

15 hours ago

Jeffrey Sachs Warns of Looming US War With Iran

16 hours ago

Cat House on the Kings Urgently Needs You to Donate Dollars and Adopt Your New Best Friend

17 hours ago

The Surprising Sexual Politics of Nicole Kidman’s Kinky ‘Babygirl’

17 hours ago

Why It’s Hard to Control What Gets Taught in Public Schools

17 hours ago

FDA Approves Weight-Loss Drug to Treat Obstructive Sleep Apnea

18 hours ago

In a Calendar Rarity, Hanukkah Starts This Year on Christmas Day

18 hours ago

A Look at the $100 Billion in Disaster Relief in the Government Spending Bill

18 hours ago

It’s Eggnog Season. The Boozy Beverage Dates Back to Medieval England but Remains a Holiday Hit

Help continue the work that gets you the news that matters most.

Search

Send this to a friend