Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility
Could Florida and Texas Go Blue? New Poll Says It's Possible
Tony tries to stay on the Website
By Anthony W. Haddad
Published 8 months ago on
September 8, 2024

A new Emerson College poll shows a tight presidential race between former President Trump and Vice President Harris in Florida and Texas, with Trump holding narrow leads in both states. (GV Wire Composite/Anthony W. Haddad)

Share

Getting your Trinity Audio player ready...

The presidential race between former President Trump and Vice President Harris remains tight in both Florida and Texas, according to a poll released Friday by Emerson College Polling and The Hill.

In Florida, Trump holds a narrow 5-point lead over Harris, 50% to 45%, while in Texas, he leads by 4 points, 50% to 46%. These results align with recent polls showing a close contest in both states.

Polling in Texas and Florida has been sparse since Harris secured the Democratic nomination, but the latest numbers suggest either state could be competitive. Trump carried both states in his previous presidential runs, though Democrats have expressed hopes of flipping Texas after years of Republican dominance.

The Hill’s forecast model gives Trump an 83% chance of winning Texas and a 75% chance of winning Florida. Still, Florida is only rated as “lean Republican,” and some surveys show Trump leading by single digits in both states.

A gender gap persists in both regions. Trump leads among Texas men by 18 points and Florida men by 12 points. Meanwhile, Harris holds an advantage among women, leading by 8 points in Texas and 2 points in Florida.

The poll surveyed likely voters in Florida and Texas between Sept. 3-5, with margins of error of 3.4 and 3.3 percentage points, respectively.

Read more about the poll at The Hill

RELATED TOPICS:

DON'T MISS

What Are Fresno Real Estate Experts Predicting for 2025 and Beyond?

DON'T MISS

First California EV Mandates Hit Automakers This Year. Most Are Not Even Close

DON'T MISS

Yastrzemski and Chapman Homers Help Giants Rally Past the Brewers

DON'T MISS

Fresno City Council Finally Passes a Tough Smoke Shop Ordinance

DON'T MISS

Fresno Unified Trustee Wittrup Says District Had Stronger Candidates Than Misty Her

DON'T MISS

Trump Poised to Offer Saudi Arabia Over $100 Billion Arms Package, Sources Say

DON'T MISS

Lights, Camera, Board Vote: Fresno Unified’s Carefully Choreographed Production

DON'T MISS

US Farm Agency Withdraws Proposal Aimed at Lowering Salmonella Risks in Poultry

DON'T MISS

On Major Economic Decisions, Trump Blinks, and Then Blinks Again

DON'T MISS

Candi Is the Dandy to Add a Little Sweetness to Your Life

DON'T MISS

How Trump Tariffs Could Upend California Farms, Wine Businesses, and Ports

DON'T MISS

Tulare Man Sentenced to State Prison for DUI Crash That Injured Two Women

UP NEXT

Fresno City Council Finally Passes a Tough Smoke Shop Ordinance

UP NEXT

Fresno Unified Trustee Wittrup Says District Had Stronger Candidates Than Misty Her

UP NEXT

Trump Poised to Offer Saudi Arabia Over $100 Billion Arms Package, Sources Say

UP NEXT

Lights, Camera, Board Vote: Fresno Unified’s Carefully Choreographed Production

UP NEXT

US Farm Agency Withdraws Proposal Aimed at Lowering Salmonella Risks in Poultry

UP NEXT

On Major Economic Decisions, Trump Blinks, and Then Blinks Again

UP NEXT

Candi Is the Dandy to Add a Little Sweetness to Your Life

UP NEXT

How Trump Tariffs Could Upend California Farms, Wine Businesses, and Ports

UP NEXT

Tulare Man Sentenced to State Prison for DUI Crash That Injured Two Women

UP NEXT

Judge Partly Blocks Trump Order Seeking to Overhaul US Elections

Anthony W. Haddad,
Multimedia Journalist
Anthony W. Haddad, who graduated from Cal Poly San Luis Obispo with his undergraduate degree and attended Fresno State for a MBA, is the Swiss Army knife of GV Wire. He writes stories, manages social media, and represents the organization on the ground.

Trump Poised to Offer Saudi Arabia Over $100 Billion Arms Package, Sources Say

5 hours ago

Lights, Camera, Board Vote: Fresno Unified’s Carefully Choreographed Production

5 hours ago

US Farm Agency Withdraws Proposal Aimed at Lowering Salmonella Risks in Poultry

6 hours ago

On Major Economic Decisions, Trump Blinks, and Then Blinks Again

6 hours ago

Candi Is the Dandy to Add a Little Sweetness to Your Life

6 hours ago

How Trump Tariffs Could Upend California Farms, Wine Businesses, and Ports

7 hours ago

Tulare Man Sentenced to State Prison for DUI Crash That Injured Two Women

8 hours ago

Judge Partly Blocks Trump Order Seeking to Overhaul US Elections

8 hours ago

Two From Search Group That Uncovered Mexico’s ‘Ranch of Horror’ Killed

8 hours ago

US Warns States They Could Lose Transportation Funding Over Immigration, DEI Policies

8 hours ago

Yastrzemski and Chapman Homers Help Giants Rally Past the Brewers

SAN FRANCISCO — Mike Yastrzemski and Matt Chapman homered as the San Francisco Giants rallied to beat the Milwaukee Brewers 6-5 on Thursday ...

3 hours ago

3 hours ago

Yastrzemski and Chapman Homers Help Giants Rally Past the Brewers

3 hours ago

Fresno City Council Finally Passes a Tough Smoke Shop Ordinance

4 hours ago

Fresno Unified Trustee Wittrup Says District Had Stronger Candidates Than Misty Her

President Donald Trump delivers remarks during an 'Unleashing American Energy' event at the Department of Energy in Washington, U.S., June 29, 2017. (REUTERS File)
5 hours ago

Trump Poised to Offer Saudi Arabia Over $100 Billion Arms Package, Sources Say

5 hours ago

Lights, Camera, Board Vote: Fresno Unified’s Carefully Choreographed Production

Chickens sit at a poultry farm. March 12, 2025. (REUTERS/Diego Vara/File Photo)
6 hours ago

US Farm Agency Withdraws Proposal Aimed at Lowering Salmonella Risks in Poultry

6 hours ago

On Major Economic Decisions, Trump Blinks, and Then Blinks Again

Candi, GV Wire's Adoptable Cat of the Week
6 hours ago

Candi Is the Dandy to Add a Little Sweetness to Your Life

Help continue the work that gets you the news that matters most.

Search

Send this to a friend