Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility
Forecast Model: California Can Relax Social Distancing in Mid-May
TLBBHMAP3-U010ALB5ANM-348f959abae2-512-300x300-1
By Jim Jakobs, Digital Producer
Published 5 years ago on
April 18, 2020

Share

Californians can circle May 18th, but use a pencil.
The University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics says some states may be able to relax some aspects of social distancing measures so long as “robust containment strategies” are implemented to prevent a second wave of infections.
Some states could start relaxing the first week of May while others need to wait until June or July, the institute said.

California Prediction

According to the newly released data, “(California) after May 18, 2020, relaxing social distancing may be possible with containment strategies that include testing, contact tracing, isolation, and limiting gathering size.”
To save you from flipping ahead on whatever calendar you use, May 18th is a Monday and is one week before Memorial Day.
The projected dates when shifting from social distancing to new strategies could be safe are based on IHME’s estimates of when infections drop below 1 per 1 million people. Minimizing the risk of resurgence will be more likely if the remaining community infections are at a low level.

(IHME)

The Early May States

Vermont, West Virginia, Montana, and Hawaii might be able to throttle their restrictions back to May 4.
“Each state is different,” said IHME Director Christopher Murray. “Each state has a different public health system, and different capabilities. This is not a ‘one decision fits all’ situation.”

States That Might Have to Wait

Iowa, North and South Dakota, Nebraska, Utah, Arkansas, and Oklahoma, may need to wait until late June or early July.
Murray says, “Now, the challenge – as well as opportunity – is for states to figure out how to reopen the U.S. economy and allow people to get back to work without sacrificing that progress. Relaxing social distancing too soon carries great risks of a resurgence of new infections. No one wants to see this vicious cycle repeating itself.”

United States Deaths May Have Peaked

IHME also announced that the number of daily COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. may have peaked two days ago, April 15, with 2,481 deaths.
The Institute now is estimating 60,308 (estimated range of 34,063 to 140,381) deaths across the country by Aug. 4 — down from the 68,841 predicted on April 13.
[covid-19-tracker]  
 

RELATED TOPICS:

DON'T MISS

What Are Fresno Real Estate Experts Predicting for 2025 and Beyond?

DON'T MISS

First California EV Mandates Hit Automakers This Year. Most Are Not Even Close

DON'T MISS

Fresno Unified Faces New Legal Claim Alleging Top Official Trapped Employee in Car

DON'T MISS

Clovis Police Arrest Two in Connection to Caleb Quick’s Murder

DON'T MISS

Elizabeth Smart Shares Harrowing Kidnap, Assault Experience with Fresno

DON'T MISS

US Military Ordered to Pull Books on Diversity, Gender Issues

DON'T MISS

Fresno County Authorities Seek Public’s Help in Huron Homicide

DON'T MISS

UN Agencies Warn That Israel’s Plans for Aid Distribution Will Endanger Lives in Gaza

DON'T MISS

Fresno Police Officer Arrested on Sexual Battery Charges

DON'T MISS

Mayor Baraka of Newark, New Jersey, Arrested at ICE Detention Center He Has Been Protesting

DON'T MISS

FDA Will Allow Three New Color Additives Made From Minerals, Algae and Flower Petals

DON'T MISS

Pentagon Directs Military to Pull Library Books That Address Diversity, Anti-Racism, Gender Issues

UP NEXT

Clovis Police Arrest Two in Connection to Caleb Quick’s Murder

UP NEXT

Elizabeth Smart Shares Harrowing Kidnap, Assault Experience with Fresno

UP NEXT

US Military Ordered to Pull Books on Diversity, Gender Issues

UP NEXT

Fresno County Authorities Seek Public’s Help in Huron Homicide

UP NEXT

UN Agencies Warn That Israel’s Plans for Aid Distribution Will Endanger Lives in Gaza

UP NEXT

Fresno Police Officer Arrested on Sexual Battery Charges

UP NEXT

Mayor Baraka of Newark, New Jersey, Arrested at ICE Detention Center He Has Been Protesting

UP NEXT

FDA Will Allow Three New Color Additives Made From Minerals, Algae and Flower Petals

UP NEXT

Pentagon Directs Military to Pull Library Books That Address Diversity, Anti-Racism, Gender Issues

UP NEXT

Fresno Pays the Most for Electricity. What Are Lawmakers Doing About It?

US Military Ordered to Pull Books on Diversity, Gender Issues

7 hours ago

Fresno County Authorities Seek Public’s Help in Huron Homicide

7 hours ago

UN Agencies Warn That Israel’s Plans for Aid Distribution Will Endanger Lives in Gaza

8 hours ago

Fresno Police Officer Arrested on Sexual Battery Charges

8 hours ago

Mayor Baraka of Newark, New Jersey, Arrested at ICE Detention Center He Has Been Protesting

9 hours ago

FDA Will Allow Three New Color Additives Made From Minerals, Algae and Flower Petals

9 hours ago

Pentagon Directs Military to Pull Library Books That Address Diversity, Anti-Racism, Gender Issues

9 hours ago

Fresno Pays the Most for Electricity. What Are Lawmakers Doing About It?

9 hours ago

Freed Palestinian Student Accuses Columbia University of Inciting Violence

9 hours ago

First At-Home Test Kit for Cervical Cancer Approved by the FDA, Company Says

9 hours ago

Fresno Unified Faces New Legal Claim Alleging Top Official Trapped Employee in Car

Fresno Unified trustees on Wednesday will hear a claim for damages from a campus safety officer who alleges her supervisor, a top district o...

5 hours ago

https://www.communitymedical.org/thecause?utm_source=Misfit+Digital&utm_medium=GVWire+Banner+Ads&utm_campaign=Branding+2025&utm_content=thecause
5 hours ago

Fresno Unified Faces New Legal Claim Alleging Top Official Trapped Employee in Car

5 hours ago

Clovis Police Arrest Two in Connection to Caleb Quick’s Murder

6 hours ago

Elizabeth Smart Shares Harrowing Kidnap, Assault Experience with Fresno

U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth attends a cabinet meeting at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., April 10, 2025. REUTERS/Nathan Howard/File Photo
7 hours ago

US Military Ordered to Pull Books on Diversity, Gender Issues

Fresno County authorities are seeking the public’s help to find the suspect who killed Jesus Adrian Amador Jr., 22, of Huron, in a 2017 shooting. (Fresno County SO)
7 hours ago

Fresno County Authorities Seek Public’s Help in Huron Homicide

8 hours ago

UN Agencies Warn That Israel’s Plans for Aid Distribution Will Endanger Lives in Gaza

Photo of the front of Fresno Police Headquarters
8 hours ago

Fresno Police Officer Arrested on Sexual Battery Charges

9 hours ago

Mayor Baraka of Newark, New Jersey, Arrested at ICE Detention Center He Has Been Protesting

Help continue the work that gets you the news that matters most.

Search

Send this to a friend