Analysis
Fresno County Voters Switching to Democratic Party

Published
3 years agoon

More voters in Fresno County are choosing a preference — the Democratic Party.
The Secretary of State released the newest registration figures for registrations through July. According to those numbers, voters are switching from no party preference to Democrat.
Overall registrants are up less than 1% since February, but up 14% over the same point in the presidential election cycle in 2016.
Related Story: Need a Job? Fresno County Is Hiring Hundreds of Election Workers Right Now
Democrats Continue Advantage in County, State
Democrats have a six percentage-point edge countywide over Republicans, 39%-33%, with 22% choosing no party preference.
The numbers are more dramatic statewide, where Democrats overwhelm Republicans, 46%-24%. In fact, there are 10,578 more no-party registrants than GOP faithful.
More Switching in Fresno County
Democrats and Republicans saw a slight uptick since the last registration report in February. Both major parties retained about the same percentage of voters as they had earlier this year.
However, while the county added 3,950 new voters, Democrats added 4,700 new voters. That indicates voters have switched parties.
Fresno County Republicans added 1,430 new voters to their rolls since February; however, voters with no party preference declined by 2,651 over the same period.
How to Register and Vote
There are a number of ways an eligible voter can register. Forms are available at places like post offices, the DMV, and at the county elections office in downtown Fresno (2221 Kern Street, Fresno) or online at this link.
To be eligible to vote, you must be a U.S. citizen and resident of California, 18 years or older as of Election Day on Nov. 3, not in state or federal prison or on parole for the conviction of a felony, and not found mentally incompetent by a court.
The deadline to register to vote in the traditional manner is Oct. 19. However, residents can register the day of the election, but only in person at a voting center or the elections office.
Mail-in votes will be sent to all active registered voters starting Oct. 5.
Fresno County will also have 53 voting centers, an alternative to the traditional precincts. Most will be open at least four days prior to the election.
Polls on Election Day are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Related Story: Election Challenge: Safe, Accurate Voting in Pandemic Era
Local Congressional Seats
The three congressional seats in Fresno County appear to favor the incumbents.
Jim Costa enjoys a 20 percentage-point Democratic partisan advantage. TJ Cox has a 17-point Democratic edge.
Cox is expected to have a much tighter race against former congressman David Valadao.
Devin Nunes only has a six-point Republican edge. For most of his career, Nunes cruised on his way back to Washington. His 2018 victory over Andrew Janz was the tightest of his career.
Registration in November’s Competitive Districts
On the November ballot, Fresno-area voters won’t have municipal elections to vote on but will have plenty of choices for school board seats. Here is how registration numbers are looking in the competitive races for what are officially nonpartisan seats:
Total | Democrats | Republican | No Party Preference | |
Fresno County Board of Education Area 2 | 115,731 | 40,207 | 46,072 | 22,338 |
Fresno County Board of Education Area 3 | 74,680 | 37,552 | 13,591 | 18,845 |
State Center Community College District Area 2 | 81,853 | 32,802 | 26,656 | 17,562 |
State Center Community College District Area 3 | 79,478 | 30,833 | 25,521 | 18,383 |
State Center Community College District Area 6 | 103,333 | 29,951 | 48,161 | 18,979 |
State Center Community College District Area 7 | 73,014 | 32,572 | 18,836 | 16,710 |
Central Unif. Area 3 | 6,406 | 2,460 | 2,132 | 1,464 |
Central Unif. Area 4 | 4,945 | 2,195 | 1,221 | 1,204 |
Central Unif. Area 6 | 6,026 | 2,666 | 1,521 | 1,502 |
Clovis Unified Area 2 | 19,744 | 5,698 | 9,264 | 3,677 |
Clovis Unified Area 4 | 23,554 | 5,994 | 11,923 | 4,218 |
Clovis Unified Area 7 | 22,709 | 7,439 | 9,228 | 4,682 |
Fresno Unif. Area 5 | 25,946 | 12,769 | 5,274 | 6,143 |
Fresno Unif. Area 6 | 27,128 | 11,158 | 7,999 | 6,141 |
Related Story: Terry Cox Won’t Seek Another Term on Central Unified Board
Curiosity drives David Taub. The award-winning journalist might be shy, but feels mighty with a recorder in his hand. He doesn't see it his job to "hold public officials accountable," but does see it to provide readers (and voters) the information needed to make intelligent choices. Taub has been honored with several writing awards from the California News Publishers Association. He's just happy to have his stories read. Joining GV Wire in 2016, Taub covers politics, government and elections, mainly in the Fresno/Clovis area. He also writes columns about local eateries (Appetite for Fresno), pro wrestling (Off the Bottom Rope), and media (Media Man). Prior to joining the online news source, Taub worked as a radio producer for KMJ and PowerTalk 96.7 in Fresno. He also worked as an assignment editor for KCOY-TV in Santa Maria, California, and KSEE-TV in Fresno. He has also worked behind the scenes for several sports broadcasts, including the NCAA basketball tournament, and the Super Bowl. When not spending time with his family, Taub loves to officially score Fresno Grizzlies games. Growing up in the San Francisco Bay Area, Taub is a die-hard Giants and 49ers fan. He graduated from the University of Michigan with dual degrees in communications and political science. Go Blue! You can contact David at 559-492-4037 or at Send an Email

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