Published
5 years agoon
By
Drew PhelpsProponents may be optimistic about the chances, but, barring some extreme events, it is highly unlikely that the California Democrat-dominated legislature would allow the measure to proceed.
With past efforts to divide the state into as many as six different states all failing to qualify for the ballot thus far, it is improbable that the Legislature would heed a call presumably made by a relatively small minority of residents.
In reality, it is probably more likely to achieve separation through the initiative process. Such a measure, if passed, would indicate a far stronger and widespread interest among voters.
The process would then still flow through the Legislature – any initiative on the matter is simply a petition for their consideration due to U.S. Constitutional requirements – but would provide a more compelling argument to force their hand.
Currently, an initiative to split California into three states, backed by Bay Area venture capitalist Tim Draper, was certified on December 18 as collecting 25% of the required signatures to land it on the ballot. This means that it is on track to qualify, but whether proponents can keep up the pace of signature-gathering is unknown.
This proposal differs from the New California effort in that it would divide the state into “Northern California,” “Southern California,, and simply “California” (which would span the coastal counties from Los Angeles to Monterey and San Benito).
Walters: Legislature Fails on Police Reform Promises
Walters: Banning Not Just a City’s Name
Newsom’s First Rodeo: In Year One, Governor Bucks Both Trump and Brown
California Lawmakers Revive a Big Piece of Obamacare
Audit: Cal State System Stashed $1.5 Billion, Still Raised Tuition
Hot Off the Grille: Is California Ready to Legalize Roadkill Cuisine?